US CB Leading Index m/m
This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy, but it tends to have a muted impact because most of the indicators used in the calculation are released previously. Source changed series calculation formula as of Jan 2012;
- History
Expected Impact / Date | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
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Jan 22, 2025 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 0.4% |
Dec 19, 2024 | 0.3% | -0.1% | -0.4% |
Nov 21, 2024 | -0.4% | -0.3% | -0.3% |
Oct 21, 2024 | -0.5% | -0.3% | -0.3% |
Sep 19, 2024 | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.6% |
Aug 19, 2024 | -0.6% | -0.4% | -0.2% |
Jul 18, 2024 | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.4% |
Jun 21, 2024 | -0.5% | -0.4% | -0.6% |
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- US CB Leading Index m/m News
- From prnewswire.com|Jan 22, 2025
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US inched down by 0.1% in December 2024 to 101.6 (2016=100), after an upwardly revised increase of 0.4% in November. The LEI declined by 1.3% over the second half of 2024, slightly less than its 1.7% decline over the first half of the last year. "The Index fell slightly in December failing to sustain November's increase," said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, Senior Manager, Business Cycle Indicators, at The Conference Board. "Low consumer confidence about future business ...
- From prnewswire.com|Dec 19, 2024
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US increased by 0.3% in November 2024 to 99.7 (2016=100), nearly reversing its 0.4% decline in October. Over the six-month period between May and November 2024, the LEI declined by 1.6%, slightly less than its 1.9% decline over the previous six months (November 2023 to May 2024). "The US LEI rose in November for the first time since February 2022," said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, Senior Manager, Business Cycle Indicators, at The Conference Board. "A rebound in building ...
- From prnewswire.com|Nov 21, 2024
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US declined by 0.4% in October 2024 to 99.5 (2016=100), following a 0.3% decline in September (revised up from a 0.5% decline). Over the six-month period between April and October 2024, the LEI fell by 2.2%, slightly more than its 2.0% decline over the previous six-month period (October 2023 to April 2024). "The largest negative contributor to the LEI's decline came from manufacturer new orders, which remained weak in 11 out of 14 industries," said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, ...
- From prnewswire.com|Oct 21, 2024
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US declined by 0.5% in September 2024 to 99.7 (2016=100), following a 0.3% decline in August. Over the six-month period between March and September 2024, the LEI fell by 2.6%, more than its 2.2% decline over the previous six-month period (September 2023 to March 2024). "Weakness in factory new orders continued to be a major drag on the US LEI in September as the global manufacturing slump persists," said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, Senior Manager, Business Cycle Indicators, ...
- From raymondjames.com|Sep 20, 2024
After more than six months of indicating that it lacked conviction regarding the path of inflation, the Federal Reserve (Fed) seems to have gotten a conviction boost so large that it pushed it to lower the federal funds rate by 50 basis points at the September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. This garnered cheers from markets but also generated the first dissent from a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors since 2005, who preferred to start the easing cycle with a more moderate cut of 25 basis points. The FOMC ...
- From prnewswire.com|Sep 19, 2024
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. declined by 0.2% in August 2024 to 100.2 (2016=100), following an unrevised 0.6% decline in July. Over the six-month period between February and August 2024, the LEI fell by 2.3%, a smaller rate of decline than the 2.7% drop over the six-month period between August 2023 and February 2024. "In August, the US LEI remained on a downward trajectory and posted its sixth consecutive monthly decline," said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, Senior Manager, Business Cycle Indicators, ...
- From prnewswire.com|Aug 19, 2024|3 comments
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. fell by 0.6 percent in July 2024 to 100.4 (2016=100), following a decline of 0.2 percent in June. Over the six-month period ending in July 2024, the LEI fell by 2.1 percent, a smaller rate of decline than its −3.1 percent over the six-month period between July 2023 and January 2024. "The LEI continues to fall on a month-over-month basis, but the six-month annual growth rate no longer signals recession ahead," said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, Senior Manager, Business ...
- From prnewswire.com|Jul 18, 2024
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. declined by 0.2 percent in June 2024 to 101.1 (2016=100), following a decline of 0.4 percent (upwardly revised) in May. Over the first half of 2024, the LEI fell by 1.9 percent, a smaller decrease than its 2.9 percent contraction over the second half of last year. "The US LEI continued to trend down in June, but the contraction was smaller than in the past three months," said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, Senior Manager, Business Cycle Indicators, at The Conference Board. ...
Released on Jan 22, 2025 |
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Released on Dec 19, 2024 |
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Released on Nov 21, 2024 |
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Released on Oct 21, 2024 |
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Released on Sep 19, 2024 |
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Released on Aug 19, 2024 |
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Released on Jul 18, 2024 |
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