Dislikedkinda missing the point...
If people expected, with absolute conviction, an intervention.. they would have moved the price themselves with all the activity trying to capitalize on it.
But not everyone knows in advance what moves a central bank makes.. or what news will be released.. they can only speculate til it's out.
If a given central bank does something you didn't expect, it might not work for your position, it might just work against you... and some movements can outright kill your account.
Think your hedge is fool proof? You...Ignored
if the bank makes short trips Swiss franc -
So what if they are always long risk? -
however are always in the hedge -
I would also try:
$ / chf long
cad / chf long -
13 to 21 gmt
give 1 and get 100