I heard Kevin Warsh's plan was to cut rates but also reduce the Fed's balance sheet which I find interesting. There's so much moralizing about 'money printing' 'inflation' that it can be hard to get a grasp of what's really going on. From what I ...

financial insights - fundamental market factors

United States Existing Home Sales Arent home sales slightly up tho? & what if the increase in delinquencies increases the chances of a rate cut and re: will not end well for the US. - like that if that has largely been priced in or like you know ...

financial insights - fundamental market factors

So you think the markets just reacting to the signal itself or like having to face a 20% rise in costs all of a sudden? Like I was almost thinking the SP could fall to somewhere around 5503 (another -15% from here, roughly 20% drop, which is more or ...

financial insights - fundamental market factors

Do you think BoJ will intervene soon? they said USDJPY 160 right

The Swamp

Very interesting chart, seems like the market is still interested in US tech (1) & that the war is hitting exUS markets harder given their oil dependency (2); my take is that the fall or the IRGC regime will accelerate as other countries feel ...

The Swamp

BoJ’s “hands‑off + gradual normalization” is deliberate; they are allowing some pain, but aiming for a healthier long‑term equilibrium, ie largely priced in. JXY and EXY both seem to be on the up and up, with the JXY downtrend looking slightly more ...

EUR/JPY

JXY looking weak image SXY looking like a buy the dip market, with CHFJPY also showing strong technicals image CHF is the steadier, structural safe-haven while JPY is the fast-reacting carry-trade unwind currency, and with the market leaning ...

CHF/JPY

Sometimes I think like, u look at BTC (not a fan btw) and go like OH SHIT ITS FALLEN BELOW 100K SHIT and its like well on a log scale the pullback makes total sense and is healthy, on a linear scale its like oh f*ck we've broken below 100k and it ...

Bitcoin (BTCUSD)

Tempted to think that if we can break below 80k, BTCUSD will want to at least touch the 50k level. And if it goes below like 49k we would not only be down on the year but down on the past 2 years... not a good look image And not saying BTC cares ...

Bitcoin (BTCUSD)

Nice, I've honestly just been eyeballing pairs like USDJPY, EURJPY, GBPJPY, USDCHF, etc. to get a better sense of where things are going, but I feel like JXY-SXY is a cleaner indicator. Fairly certain CHFJPY should hit the 194 in the near future, so ...

CHF/JPY

It's more volatile because there's no better story when it comes to the fundamentals. Holding 4K really well too, so I have absolutely no problem buying at this level

Gold with No Drama

I like it at this level, BoJ seems to be signalling that it wont intervene just yet and CHFJPY seems to do well after recent gains have been erased

CHF/JPY