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EventsTrader replied Sep 15, 2022Powell did give UoM Consumer Sentiment extra attention. He also mentioned the employment cost index not too long ago and it hasn't had any impact. UoM has always had significance, Powell was probably some fuel to that fire. I don't expect it to move ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Sep 13, 2022
US CPI data - September Follow up image image Once again, CPI took center stage and did not disappoint. Both the CPI and core CPI data came in much higher than expected. The core data was higher than the range of estimates, a significant ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Sep 13, 2022
US PPI - September Preview PPI m/m Core PPI m/m Forecasts Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect Overall PPI to come in between -0.2% and 0.1%. A lot of uncertainty here as there’s not a clear cut consensus. The average estimate is between -0.1% ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Sep 12, 2022
US CPI - September Preview CPI m/m Core CPI m/m Forecasts Overall CPI is forecasted to come in at -0.1%. This would be the first negative reading since June 2020. The range of forecasts from economists surveyed by Bloomberg are from -0.4% to 0.2% ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Sep 5, 2022
US Employment Data - September Follow up While NFP came in slightly better than expected, it was the unemployment rate that was the big surprise. The range of estimates were from 3.4%-3.6% and it came in outside of that, at 3.7%. The higher ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Sep 1, 2022
US Employment Data - September Preview Non-Farm Employment Change Unemployment Rate Forecasts NFP: Per Bloomberg’s survey of economists, the range of estimates are mostly from around 244 to 374, leaving out outliers. The average estimate is 295 and ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Aug 26, 2022
US Core PCE Price Index - August Follow up As expected, bitcoin rallied on a lower than expected PCE number. Personal Spending and Personal Income both missed too, which contributed to the move. The follow through was a little surprising. This was a ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Aug 25, 2022
US Core PCE Price Index - August Preview Core PCE Price Index m/m Forecast The most popular forecast is 0.3%. The second most popular forecast is 0.1%. The third most pupolar is 0.2%, which is roughly the average of all forecasts. The range of ...
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- EventsTrader replied Aug 22, 2022
FOMC Meeting Minutes - August Follow up FOMC Meeting Minutes As expected, the minutes didn't shine much light on where the Fed is going in the September meeting. If anything, they might have added to the uncertainty. But the fact that the minutes ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Aug 17, 2022
Surprisingly, CME FedWatch Tool now showing almost an even split betweein 50 and 75 bps as far as what the market is pricing in for the Sept Fed meeting. image The market is as uncertain as it gets about the Fed's next move. Clues in the minutes ...
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- EventsTrader replied Aug 16, 2022
FOMC Meeting Minutes - August Preview FOMC Meeting Minutes Recent impacts (btc/usd) July image May image April image February image January image Summary The Fed raised rates by 75 basis points the last two consecutive meetings. Since the ...
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- EventsTrader replied Aug 15, 2022
US PPI data - August Follow up After a big miss in both overall and core PPI, there was some volatility after an initial spike, and a bigger than average move for this data. However, lower inflation was mostly priced in as CPI came in lower than ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Aug 10, 2022
US PPI data - Trading opportunity? Recent impacts (btc/usd) July image June image May image April image March image February image January image Summary Minimal volatility can be expected but should be relatively muted outside of any ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Aug 10, 2022
US CPI data - August Follow up US inflation data continues to be one of the biggest market movers in the crypto space. This morning the BLS reported a pretty significant miss, especially considering we've seen upside surprises for most of this year. ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Aug 9, 2022
US CPI - August Preview CPI m/m Core CPI m/m Forecasts CPI m/m is expected to come in at 0.2%. The range of estimates is mostly between 0.1%-0.3%. Core CPI m/m forecasts are mostly between 0.5%-0.6%, with slightly more estimates favoring 0.5%. The ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Aug 8, 2022
US Employment Data - August Follow up Following a significant surprise to the upside in NFP, along with a downtick in the unemployment rate, bitcoin sold off as the US dollar rallied. Clearly, the Fed's aggressive rate hikes haven't hit the labor ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Aug 4, 2022
A lot of it has to do with moves in the greenback. But, there are some events that have and could cause some risk on/off (FOMC, CPI, Minutes) environments. That would probably be where the better bitcoin trading opportunities are. Hoping to shine ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Aug 4, 2022
US Employment Data - August Preview Non-Farm Employment Change Unemployment Rate Forecasts NFP: Economists surveyed by Bloomberg are in a wide range between 50K and 325K. Average forecast is ~237K while the median is 250K. It should be noted that ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
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High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
Started Aug 4, 2022|Interactive Trading|93 replies
In this thread, the focus is on high impact calendar events related to Bitcoin. Participation ...