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- cchin replied Mar 24, 2023
Alright. Had a busy morning as the development over Deutsche Bank had triggered renewed interests on the yen. One accredited investor was contemplating whether to increase exposure in US treasury, or to partially swap their holdings to JPY. With ...
- cchin replied Mar 22, 2023
+25 bps it is. We'll hear from the man later on where Fed will bring us to. Summary of economic projection put median for 2023 at 5.1%, range from 4.9 to 5.9, with a central tendency at 5.1 to 5.6%. In other words, one, may be two more rate hikes, ...
- cchin replied Mar 16, 2023
Ok. ECB today. So, we're looking at Euro. From time to time, I'll pull out this chart. We'll see if there's Lagarde effect today. Now, you knew I've been long on this Euro against US dollar for a long ...
- cchin replied Mar 15, 2023
OK. An update before I sign off for the day. After listening to Hunt for nearly two hours, I still don't get it, what's in this "budget for growth"? Where's the growth? Let's be honest. SVB, Signature, Credit Suisse aside, markets have reasons ...
- cchin replied Mar 15, 2023
Great. A quick update before US retail sales. Euro, Sterling did plunge. Triggered by Credit Suisse sentiment. Yield on German bund fell. Yen became the safe haven flow. Earlier today, I did enter three shorts, here. A continuation of previous ...
- cchin replied Mar 13, 2023
OK. Went for an early Euro lunch today. Back to my desk, and proceed to close my yen positions. I was short on GBPJPY, USDJPY and added another pair EURJPY exactly a month ago, started here and here. There's no major macro data release today. It's ...
- cchin replied Mar 7, 2023
OK. A quick update on my Cable shorts. I've closed 1/3 of all active positions. Closed 11 trades. I've been shorting this pair since Dec '22, first here, then added more, until you last saw an hour ago, here. Price may continue to dip further, ...
- cchin replied Mar 7, 2023
Great. I can now call this day off. After Powell finished his speech. I wouldn't spend a minute longer listening to politicians quizzing Powell, later today, and tomorrow. Most questions are rather irrelavant to monetary policy anyway, since most ...
- cchin replied Feb 16, 2023
OK. Probably my final check-in before signing off for a long weekend. We've bank holidays in US and Canada on Monday, so I'm leaving for the mountains tomorrow. Before that, just a chart on my Cable shorts. Floating P/L now stood at +$2.35k. I ...
- cchin replied Feb 15, 2023
Ha.. I saw EURUSD was getting hyped up. Here's my take. I won't go short or long at this moment. I'm still holding on to my longs opened since Q3 '22. Closed half of those initial longs when price was betwee 1.07-1.09. I'll eventually enter long, ...
- cchin replied Feb 15, 2023
OK. I went in to close 4 trades on my GBPJPY shorts, last seen here. Now, 8 active trades remain on this pair. Honestly, I think I should stop doing these very short term day-to-day trades. It gets uncomfortable. It'll get very messy accounting ...
- cchin replied Feb 15, 2023
The Cable scalps entered yesterday, all 7 trades had now closed. I closed them at 1.210 level (that level in chart below). Gain +$30. Entered a short on USDJPY at 133.43. Kept my GBPJPY shorts for now. As for my 30-plus Cable shorts, P/L now at ...
- cchin replied Feb 14, 2023
OK guys. I think I'll call it a day, go for dinner, and resume tomorrow. I've added one short trade to USDJPY at 132.95. I kept my positions on GBPJPY. Now, the earlier scalp on Cable, I did close the 4 trades here. I might proceed to close all the ...
- cchin replied Feb 14, 2023
OK scalping. I went in to add some few short trades, before and after CPI. Now, I really don't like to open and close trades on the same day. I do that very infrequently. May be I'll proceed with closing four trades from the top. We'll see. The ...
- cchin replied Feb 14, 2023
My positions on GBPJPY and USDJPY so far. Went out for dinner after London close yesterday, so didn't manage to post these charts here. I know there'll be questions: Will yen weaken so much that both pairs go against my direction? Sure. Do I ...
- cchin replied Feb 13, 2023
OK, back. Update to my Cable positions last seen here. I did add two new shorts to my Cable last Thu, briefly after weekly payrolls, and one short just an hour ago. P/L at +$1.28k. I've also added shorts on GBPJPY and USDJPY. These pairs, I'll talk ...
- cchin replied Feb 3, 2023
OK guys. I may hang around for NFP and ISM. I went in this morning to close all my GBPJPY and USDJPY in my portfolio. I'm flat on these yen crosses. I've my Euro long intact. I've also have my Cable shorts. The 29 trades positions you saw here, here ...
- cchin replied Feb 2, 2023
Yes, that would be the 200-SMA on weekly. I would expect it to go up to 1.15, finishing the retracement that brought us down to 0.955. Something resembling 2017 trend (in Fib levels left side of the chart).
- cchin replied Feb 2, 2023
Went in to close my remaining GBPJPY trades, opened here and inherited from here. It may spike up, or it may dip down. I don't know. Staying flat prior to BOE rate announcement.
- cchin replied Feb 1, 2023
OK. Final follow-up to my GBPJPY trades, earlier here. Close two trades on GBPJPY, now only two active positions remain. On the other, I think I'll keep my one USDJPY short trade into FOMC. On USDJPY, there're two ways out: One, I hold it until USD ...