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- FX-Jay replied Nov 2, 2016
Usually the market doesn't reverse on me before giving a new equity high on each cycle. That being said, the USD weakness should continue as projected. While others scratch their heads & wonder why this is happening after the market moves, we sit ...
- FX-Jay replied Oct 21, 2016
Current DD peak still lower than all of the previous ones that preceded it despite the relatively large downside move on EU & the move up in UJ. This at least shows that the risk is still in check & is being managed quite well in order to eventually ...
- FX-Jay replied Oct 21, 2016
As I mentioned before, I was hoping to kind of skip the DD cycle this time around & hopefully just ride the profits train without any DD. The market had another opinion, and seems to want me to work more on my timing. As you can see below, I did ...
- FX-Jay replied Sep 23, 2016
In order to keep things simple, I'm just going to use a sample EURUSD chart. Please not that this is just for illustration purposes, the scale on the picture is not very accurate, more accurate values can be found in the analysis following the ...
- FX-Jay replied Sep 23, 2016
I'm fairly convinced that the next DD cycle is going to start early next week, so I'm planning to significantly reduce whatever positions I have left to reduce the magnitude of the possible DD. As time passes, you'll see the equity curve get ...
- FX-Jay replied Sep 23, 2016
GBPJPY did indeed top that Friday, and as expected a new equity high was reached by riding the JPY strength / GBP weakness train
- FX-Jay replied Sep 9, 2016
We did indeed get the DD mentioned above. I have mixed feelings about this. I'm not so happy to have to sit in DD, but I'm glad that history is nicely repeating itself & giving us better market predictability. The DD cycle is starting to look a ...
- FX-Jay replied Aug 26, 2016
As part of the system optimization, I'm first tackling the DD issue. As you can see from the graph below, I'm capping the DD levels at lower %s as time passes. The ultimate aim is to reach a max peak DD of 25%. I'm doing this gradually & smartly in ...
- FX-Jay replied Aug 26, 2016
There is only one little thing that is worrying me at the moment. This may sound funny to some, but here goes: As a follow up to the equity curve post made in July (here), you can see that yes history did repeat itself as expected and the DD did ...
- FX-Jay replied Aug 11, 2016
Seems that history did repeat itself indeed. The above post was posted on July 13th. We had retests of the highs on the 2 following days, but as you can see these were brief quick attempts. And as expected (& highly awaited) we have been drifting ...
- FX-Jay replied Jul 13, 2016
Here's what I look at when I don't want to look into individual positions. Since all the positions taken are based on high probability setups, I just need to look at the aggregate exposure to get an idea what the next high probability movement is ...
- FX-Jay replied Jul 13, 2016
Yes the DD was real nasty, the Yen move contributed, but the main factor was the GBP strength. These Drawdows have been always happening, and I'm working hard to try to understand when/why they are happening at the time they do. When you are ...
- FX-Jay replied Jun 24, 2016
Here's a visual representation based on a strategy tracking account that I'm using
- FX-Jay replied Apr 12, 2016
Now if we drag the charts a little further, here's what we get:
- FX-Jay replied Apr 12, 2016
Anyone else sees the resemblance between these 2 charts?
- FX-Jay replied Apr 7, 2016
1.1437 done, 1.1511 next .. Once we break 1.1511 I'll assess if we continue higher, but most probably that's going to be a sure thing. I expect a nice upward move that will take us to 1.17 quite fast, but let's keep that discussion till we clear ...
- FX-Jay replied Apr 2, 2016
EURGBP: I'm not going to go into details of the EURGBP trade like I did with the GBPCHF in the post above. If you want, you can track my posts here from Feb, and you'll see it for yourself. Basically I was extremely bullish since the beginning of ...
- FX-Jay replied Apr 2, 2016
GBPCHF: I started entering shorts on the 1st of Feb. The highest price I managed to catch was 1.4750 When the price was @ 1.4116 I confirmed that 1.3955 was going to be taken out Once 1.3955 was taken out as expected, I closed all my positions. I ...
- FX-Jay replied Apr 1, 2016
It's been a while that I haven't gave my opinion on EURUSD The picture wasn't clear, but now it most definitely is. I'm not going to recommend anything at the moment given that the NFP is going to be released shortly & I expect some choppiness. I ...
- FX-Jay replied Feb 25, 2016
Hey Keziahpie, Here's a zoomed in AUDJPY H4 Chart I wouldn't be surprised at all to size a huge down move on Friday a 200+ pip move isn't a surprise on this pair I am willing to bet the house on that? Not really Based on my calculation we should see ...