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- roel13 replied Dec 22, 2015
Hum. Maybe it is possible.
- roel13 replied Dec 18, 2015
With 100% confidence now: for non-varied levels, the statement is true. One can achieve a good win rate %, but the big losses seen (less often) will offset the big winners (more often) if enough trades are made. The end result always hovers towards ...
- roel13 replied Nov 30, 2015
The EU and the Turtle. The Turtle was faster on average. The EU was faster when it reached stop signs.
- roel13 replied Nov 30, 2015
A+. Now make sure to make every trade just as good and well thought out as that one. Don't get proud and start using larger sizes. Stay small for quite some time.
- roel13 replied Nov 30, 2015
Looking at the ticks, you'd say it's market makers putting in small orders just to drive the price up/down to a "visual something" - does that happen?
- roel13 replied Nov 30, 2015
Very long term it's a very large triangle heading for 0.82250
- roel13 replied Nov 30, 2015
It's a new lower low, that's for sure.
- roel13 replied Nov 29, 2015
With near 100% confidence: for non-varied levels, the statement is true. One can achieve a 75%, even a 81.25% win rate, but the big losses will offset the big winners if enough trades are made. How about varied levels?
- roel13 replied Nov 27, 2015
You're spot on. FX Options are regularly priced on black scholes. It's all about normal distribution/bell curve. See: url
- roel13 replied Nov 27, 2015
The other problem that comes in here is that if you have a system with an x% win rate (and it IS doable to make a system that has a guaranteed win rate) that the size of the 100-x% loss trades are likely much bigger then the x% wins. Still, it would ...
- roel13 replied Nov 27, 2015
When [every - depending on volatility] 5 min price move == $100, I wonder who else could hold on, unless you're trading cheaply bought options. Then again, you can get greedy and close them out too early too.
- roel13 replied Nov 24, 2015
Are we now finally ready to go through that 1.06 barrier and keep going?
- roel13 replied Nov 23, 2015
Actually, the USDJPY TL was already broken. Thus...
- roel13 replied Nov 23, 2015
GBPUSD breaking... again. Will USDJPY break that TL? If so, I think there will be no stopping EU
- roel13 replied Nov 23, 2015
Yep looks like it. Finally going down. <recovery mode>
- roel13 replied Nov 23, 2015
Market profile high hit? image
- roel13 replied Nov 23, 2015
Btw, look at GPBUSD ... Notice "EUR_USD" "GBP_USD" ...
- roel13 replied Nov 23, 2015
The trend is down, and who says it won't break the H4 image image
- roel13 replied Nov 23, 2015
There we go. Down...
- roel13 replied Nov 23, 2015
I think it's reversing now. Head and shoulders in M1 + TL break