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- mathematician replied May 14, 2023
A classic example of a true edge is the green 0 or 00 in roulette. There are as many red numbers as there are black number in roulette, 18 of each. If you bet $1 on red and you're right, you get $1. If it doesn't land on red, you lose $1. If there ...
- mathematician replied May 14, 2023
If you are not motivated, it could be that you're trying to force yourself to trade with a strategy that isn't compatible with you. Here are some examples of how some aspects of the strategy might NOT work for you: You are trying to trade news ...
- mathematician replied May 13, 2023
You buy and sell at slightly different prices. At any given moment, the price you can buy at and the price you can sell at are different. The difference between these two prices is called the spread. The slightly higher price is called the "Ask" or ...
- mathematician replied May 13, 2023
Yes, absolutely! Every trade is simply two parties agrreeing on a price but disagreeing on the direction. If there are no limit orders, the two market orders will be matched up and exchanged. But there are always more limit orders ...
- mathematician replied May 13, 2023
Well, basically the term overbought means it’s priced “too high”, higher than it “should” be. People are buying it at prices above what you would expect for the currency/stock/commodity, etc. But if people are buying it at high prices, that means ...
- mathematician replied Feb 21, 2023
No, what I am saying is that this approach does not tell you where the prices will go. For example, the Japanese yen has always been less than the US dollar. But that doesn’t mean that you should always go long in USD/JPY.
- mathematician replied Feb 21, 2023
Oh hello DragonChaser. It's been years since I've checked FF, but I just recently saw this. I'm pretty sure I can answer your question here about solving the equations. It's an interesting idea, and while it might seem like we have something to work ...
- mathematician replied Jun 14, 2016
I haven't really noticed a difference, but then again, I haven't really been paying close attention to it. It should be basically the same, either way, as a ratio or product. I mean, arbitrage should make it all work out pretty much the same.
- mathematician replied Nov 13, 2015
Yes, risking your whole acccount is very risky, but that's why you don't risk your whole account on one trade! I know. I iknow: You weren't saying that we intentionally risk the whole account on one trade; you were saying that we can't be guaranteed ...
- mathematician replied Nov 13, 2015
No. I haven't done anything like that. I don't know much about time series. I'm not an applied mathematician. I studied pure math, where the whole approach is very different. It seems to me, that in applied math, physics, and engineering, the ...
- mathematician replied Nov 12, 2015
Oh definitely, in a game like poker, having a bunch of amateurs around the table really helps your edge!
- mathematician replied Nov 12, 2015
Well that's basically what we've been saying. We've been saying that in order to consistently make money, you must have an edge. But if the person you're playing against has an edge over you, then he'll be the one gradually making money and you'll ...
- mathematician replied Nov 11, 2015
I think we're getting jumbled up in terms of what we're calling independent. I agree with you that from the beginning of a spin to the end of a spin, there is a huge series of depentent events. It's extremely complex and with enough data and ...
- mathematician replied Nov 11, 2015
Yeah, totally. There are a few guys hawking their software that claims to unlock the mystical mathematical secret order of the markets. They spew a bunch of fancy-sounding rhetoric to scare their audience into thinking that there's something they ...
- mathematician replied Nov 11, 2015
I don't believe money management is all that's necessary. One also needs a true edge in terms of being able to spot opportunities where you can tip the odds in your favour.
- mathematician replied Nov 11, 2015
Now that is something I can get behind! I agree that many people overthink every single trade. If you're doing it right, there should be little hesitation and consistent application for your approach.
- mathematician replied Nov 11, 2015
Yeah, actually that looks really interesting!
- mathematician replied Nov 11, 2015
You're talking about "the Counterargument", right? I just read it. The author has no idea what he's talking about. It's painfully obvious in every paragraph. He really doesn't understand statistical independence or basic logic at all. He's actually ...
- mathematician replied Nov 11, 2015
In a sense, yes. Why do you think they invited him back? They know that all of this will generate a lot of publicity and that it will bring more players to their casino. This casino is just playing at a higher level. Some people risk 1% a trade, ...