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- AnniLi commented Jul 3, 2016
Its up again. Its hard to see weakness in AUD pairs just because Parliament is hung. A Labour victory, yes, but not a Coalition victory or hung. Bigger picture is that AUD has been well sold off already so unless your central view is a deepening ...
Australian Hung Parliament Sees AUD/USD Gap Down
- AnniLi commented Jul 2, 2016
Something's gotta give.......
Brexit is no excuse to relax budget rules: Bundesbank chief
- AnniLi commented Jun 29, 2016
Thanks. While commodity currencies are still hurting from longer term and short term wounds, the healing process is still going on in the world economy and commodity markets. Probably there is too much that is negative already priced in to CAD and ...
USD/CAD On Track to Print Bearish Monthly Candle
- AnniLi commented Jun 27, 2016
No it shouldn't. The jalopy might just stall again 100 metres down the road. In its current form the Euro single currency cannot survive. Unemployment in Germany is heading for 4% while in Greece and Spain the rates are over 20%, with Italy and ...
Jumpstarting Europe’s Economy
- AnniLi commented Jun 27, 2016
The world was already worried more about deflation than inflation so the Brexit tributary has now joined the mainstream. US may have had the strongest case that the door to inflation was being left unlatched, but even there the robustness of the ...
Fed Once Again Overtaken By Events
- AnniLi commented Jun 24, 2016
A$ is where it was a week ago.
Brexit: Carnage on Australian market as $50b in shares lost, dollar slumps
- AnniLi commented Jun 22, 2016
Australian election not even mentioned? Lot of money went into Kiwi for the time being. Good to see an article looking beyond the referendum result when markets will re-focus on the nascent global recovery. Recent OECD Economic Outlook (June) worth ...
Aussie back to where it was before rate cut
- AnniLi commented Jun 21, 2016
Yellen is not confused. The media always want a simple story in a complex world.
Yellen makes 'uncertainty' new mantra as market doubts Fed view
- AnniLi commented Jun 20, 2016
Thatcher had done most of the hard work (structural and macroeconomic UK reforms) before Soros came along. She 'left' in 1990 and so the 1992 debacle was not on her watch. And for the record she was against the ERM and the single currency idea. ...
Soros says Brexit aftermath will be worse than time he broke the Bank of England
- AnniLi commented Jun 16, 2016
AUD market already risk averse due to election (July 2). Unlike 2008 JPY has less of safe haven status; expect USD to regain ascendancy if Brexit succeeds. CHF means fighting the SNB. Ask: "where is a safe haven currency?" Major USD; minor major AUD ...
Major Currency Views Impact From Brexit - Morgan Stanley
- AnniLi commented Jun 16, 2016
Puerile article. Why have countries not moved faster to improve fiscal policies and to implement structural market economic reforms which would have taken some of the weight off monetary policy? What caused the global financial crisis in the first ...
The Fed and other central banks have lost their magic powers
- AnniLi commented Jun 15, 2016
Australia grew by 1.1% Q1 also a surprise. Australasia coming out of the doldrums with stronger growth and low inflation (Goldilocks sort of). Expect both currencies to firm up with not much change in short rates. Also insulated to some extent from ...
New Zealand's 1Q GDP Growth Better Than Expected
- AnniLi commented Jun 14, 2016
We can forgive the first, but not the second and third.
More Brexit Poll shenanigans afoot
- AnniLi commented Jun 14, 2016
This was clear months ago. The parliamentary process will be fast tracked in current circumstances. The broader issue is the sickness of the EU and the single currency. It takes full-blooded political commitments by members to run a single currency ...
There is an incredible theory that a Brexit won't actually happen even if the public votes for...
- AnniLi commented Jun 14, 2016
USA is a long way from normal monetary conditions based on past patterns through the economic cycle. If overall monetary conditions were clearly too loose then there would not need to be four camps. People are too confused about this issue of ...
Charting the lowest interest rates in 5,000 years, worst commodity returns in 80 years
- AnniLi commented Jun 14, 2016
USA is a long way from normal monetary conditions based on past patterns through the economic cycle. If overall monetary conditions were clearly too loose then there would not need to be four camps. People are too confused about this issue of ...
When will US interest rates rise again?
- AnniLi commented Jun 14, 2016
USA is a long way from normal monetary conditions based on past patterns through the economic cycle. If overall monetary conditions were clearly too loose then there would not need to be four camps. People are too confused about this issue of ...
Fed faces battle to escape world's low interest rate grip
- AnniLi commented Jun 14, 2016
USA is a long way from normal monetary conditions based on past patterns through the economic cycle. If overall monetary conditions were clearly too loose then there would not need to be four camps. People are too confused about this issue of ...
July interest rate hike not far-fetched, close examination of Fed voters’ stance shows