Submitted Apr 7, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com

Here’s a quick rundown of prior week EURUSD drivers that are likely to continue to drive the pair ECB Inaction, Fed Stimulus: Bullish for the EURUSD Despite considerable deterioration in the EU since the ECB’s last meeting, and Draghi’s dour view on ...

Submitted Mar 30, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com

This is the most event packed week thus far in 2013. Here’s a brief rundown of what’s coming. Fundamental Picture There are significant top-tier events from all of the top three economic zones this week. EU Perhaps the one positive out of the Cyprus ...

Submitted Mar 30, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com

Lessons from last week’s market action for this week- Part 2 Following up from part 1, here are the conclusions and lessons gleaned from last week’s market action for the coming week and beyond. Conclusions And Lessons: Cyprus, Importance Of Coming ...

Submitted Mar 24, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com|2 comments

Here’s a quick review of the likely market movers for this week. Given the light calendar and end of week Good Friday many expect a quiet range bound week. However there are a number of very potent market moving events that could hit, and we don’t ...

Submitted Mar 17, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com

This week, it’s more like six categories of things to watch. Lots here of particular interest to EURUSD traders as well as those looking for an overview of the coming week. Here’s a brief rundown of the balance of the longer term multi-week bullish ...

Submitted Mar 10, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com

It’s a typically subdued mid-month economic calendar, but it’s not without enough potentially market moving events to keep us interested. So we’ll keep it short. Fundamental Market Movers 1. Market Reaction To Us Jobs Reports As always, Asia’s ...

Submitted Mar 9, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com|1 comment

How, Why, and Other Details: It may be changing, but not because it moved up with stocks after the US jobs reports As we reviewed last week’s market action and its lessons for this week, we wanted to alert everyone to something very significant that ...

Submitted Mar 3, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com

Here’s a quick rundown of the bullish and bearish for the week ahead and beyond. Fundamental Picture: Mostly Bearish For The Pair Except for ongoing stimulus(for fundamentals, “the one thing to rule them all”), which is no small thing and bullish ...

Submitted Feb 24, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com|1 comment

…and is the BoE getting ready to mix horsemeat into the Sterling? A number of assumptions about stimulus trends and EU risk may be put to the test this week. So what’s likely to move the EURUSD this week? Actual Economic Data Data appears to be ...

Submitted Feb 16, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com

A market outlook for traders and investors in all global risk asset markets, focused on stocks and currencies As we discussed in part 2 of our post on last week’s lessons for this week, the things that have really moved markets over the past months ...

Submitted Feb 10, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com|5 comments

Here’s a quick rundown of headwinds and tailwinds for the EURUSD 1. EU Political Turmoil: Bearish The corruption scandal in Spain and resurgence of anti-market PM candidate Berlusconi should continue to create uncertainty with a distinctly bearish ...

Submitted Feb 3, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com

We know what they are, and we see they’re driving stocks, risk currencies and other risk assets higher. The only question is, how sustainable are they? While this week’s calendar has plenty of potential drivers for specific currencies, it has more ...

Submitted Feb 2, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com|2 comments

In most cases, news and trends that benefit stocks and other risk assets favors the EURUSD because the EUR is the higher ranking risk currency of the pair, and currency pairs move with their base currency (the one on the left). The strong entrenched ...

Submitted Feb 2, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com|4 comments

What’s Driving It, What Will Stop It? Below is: A recap of each day’s prime market movers Our conclusions about: What’s driving this rally Its obstacles What’s likely to sustain What’s likely to stop it What to do DAILY SUMMARY MONDAY There was no ...

Submitted Jan 27, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com

EURUSD The Bullish Prior week’s good German data, better than expected rate of LTRO repayment from banks, ongoing rally in leading global stock indexes all combine to feed: Complacency on EU solvency risk EURUSD longer term momentum as the pair ...

Submitted Jan 20, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com

Here’s a quick overview of what’s likely to move the EURUSD for the coming week, and why. The one big fundamental in the favor of risk assets in general has been the massive intervention by the Fed, ECB, BoJ, PBOC, etc to prop up asset prices. So ...

Submitted Jan 19, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com

In sum, even normally market moving events like US monthly jobs and Q4 2012 earnings continue to be drowned out by headlines related to the latest new stimulus or austerity related headlines, whether they originate from Tokyo, Washington, or ...