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Risk Surfer replied Mar 19, 2014S&P 500 Weekly – Looking at the weekly chart we can see just how clear this up trend in stocks has been since the peak of the financial crisis in mid 2009. This trend is particularly stable as it is steep without being ‘parabolic’ i.e. the gradient ...
Surfing Risk Intraday - Volume Profile and Order flow
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Risk Surfer replied Mar 19, 2014Hey Dave, I've asked a colleague who uses Sierra and he kindly offered his templates for posting. Unfortunately I can't give you and advice on setup as I don't currently use that package, but here's the file anyway, let me know how you get on RS ...
Surfing Risk Intraday - Volume Profile and Order flow
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Risk Surfer replied Mar 19, 2014That's great, thanks to you and of course Bandung for his hard work
Surfing Risk Intraday - Volume Profile and Order flow
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Risk Surfer replied Mar 18, 2014Hey Spring, yep good spot... I tried to hide it, but...
I don't use delta for entries really, It's there more for an additional gauge of who's in control. For example if the delta is moving sharply higher (indicating a lot of traders lifting the ...Surfing Risk Intraday - Volume Profile and Order flow
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Risk Surfer replied Mar 18, 2014Hey Kinspk, Yes that's the POC, I wish I could answer your questions better but I'm not familiar with the MT4 platform and this indicator does seem very inflexible, I have played around with the settings and have the same result as you, inability to ...
Surfing Risk Intraday - Volume Profile and Order flow
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Risk Surfer replied Mar 18, 2014Here's an example of the kind of top down analysis I perform for each of the markets I trade, this time for the Bund (FGBL) BUND Weekly – On the weekly timeframe we can see we’re in a clear uptrend since 2009, this is due to the fundamental ‘risk ...
Surfing Risk Intraday - Volume Profile and Order flow
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Risk Surfer replied Mar 17, 2014Hey Dave, I'm based in the UK too, the only major clearer we have here is Marex, and they are not particularly accessible by retail traders. There's no problem with having a US based broker, you can still keep your funds in GBP, they just loan you $ ...
Surfing Risk Intraday - Volume Profile and Order flow
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Risk Surfer replied Mar 17, 2014Yeah the high and volume nodes all correlate nicely, the actual volume traded on each price does not match perfectly, but since we're only interested in reading it on a relative basis it doesn't really matter. And actually it's possible that Sierra ...
Surfing Risk Intraday - Volume Profile and Order flow
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Risk Surfer replied Mar 14, 2014Yeah I did have a quick spin through that thread, seemed like an awful lot of chat about setting up the charts and very little about auction market theory! but yes, full respect to those programmers who spend their free time developing this stuff, ...
Surfing Risk Intraday - Volume Profile and Order flow
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Risk Surfer replied Mar 13, 2014Ok so I've been getting a ton of emails asking me how compatible my method is with Spot FX and where can they find indicators for Metatrader. Personally I didn't expect to meet so much resistance to try futures, but I have looked all over the web ...
Surfing Risk Intraday - Volume Profile and Order flow
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Risk Surfer replied Mar 13, 2014Cheers Spring, yeah full steam ahead on the website, getting quite a few subscribers now so there's no such thing as a day off! Here's the reasoning for the potential Bund short. Basically price broke out of one balance to test another balance, I ...
Surfing Risk Intraday - Volume Profile and Order flow
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Risk Surfer replied Mar 5, 2014Yeah low volume in the S&P Future today, about 80% of the average. RTH range has only been 6.25 points, the 20 day ATR is 17.75 points. We did take out that 1874.75 level though.. just about Thanks for sharing your analysis in the thread, welcome ...
Surfing Risk Intraday - Volume Profile and Order flow
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Risk Surfer replied Mar 5, 2014Double tops doesn't indicate downside to me personally. I know it's taught that way, but when you look back, there are infinitely more examples of cases where Double tops or bottoms don't hold as proper swing points. When I see a double top, ...
Surfing Risk Intraday - Volume Profile and Order flow
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Risk Surfer replied Mar 5, 2014Hate to sound like a broken record but we have the same situation again here in the S&P. Double top yesterday at 1874.75 (Weak high) which was tested multiple times overnight too. Extremely high probability of that getting taken out in the RTH ...
Surfing Risk Intraday - Volume Profile and Order flow
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Risk Surfer replied Mar 5, 2014Hey MC, Yeah sorry everyone about the abbreviations, they're so 'standard' to me I forget that some people are learning this for the first time. Here's a quick list VP - Volume Profile MP - Market Profile VPOC - Volume point of control POC - Point ...
Surfing Risk Intraday - Volume Profile and Order flow
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Risk Surfer replied Mar 4, 2014Here's a trade example from today in the GBP future (6B) Firstly check out the daily chart. Notice we are in a tight balance area that starts after the buying climax on the 17th February. We are right in the middle of this balance area, so I have ...
Surfing Risk Intraday - Volume Profile and Order flow
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Risk Surfer replied Mar 4, 2014Wider risk is absolutely fine if that's working for you, every trader is different! One thing I would say though is that it's rarely the most comfortable strategy that makes the most money. It's important to step away from the crowd and take trades ...
Surfing Risk Intraday - Volume Profile and Order flow
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Risk Surfer replied Mar 4, 2014High taken out, Trading 1867.25 now
Surfing Risk Intraday - Volume Profile and Order flow
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Risk Surfer replied Mar 4, 2014We left weak highs behind in the S&P on Friday. The Ukrainian geopolitical events have pushed us lower, but now I'm expecting these highs to be taken out, probably today, or at least by the end of the week image
Surfing Risk Intraday - Volume Profile and Order flow
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Risk Surfer replied Mar 3, 2014Ok so the 1834.00 Level did hold, but in all honesty I lost money on this trade, Here's why: I use ridiculously tight stops. I really expect my levels to hold to the tick, and in many cases they do. On the S&P 500 my stop is just 5 ticks, If the ...
Surfing Risk Intraday - Volume Profile and Order flow