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- Submitted Jan 17, 2026|From forex.com
USD/JPY is being driven mainly by Japan’s reflation push and a steepening yield curve, with U.S. data taking a back seat. With the calendar quiet, political developments, BOJ intervention risk and speculation over who may lead the Federal Reserve ...
- Submitted Jan 15, 2026|From forex.com|1 comment
GBP/AUD has finally broken and held beneath 2.000, releasing the pressure that had been building for weeks. What really stood out Thursday is how the pound couldn’t hold a bid even with an upside surprise in November GDP, overwhelmed by a firmer ...
- Submitted Jan 14, 2026|From forex.com
Bitcoin is regaining bullish traction after bears failed to force a breakdown below the 80k region. Momentum indicators and futures positioning suggest the balance of risks is tilting higher in the near term, although broader risk sentiment — ...
- Submitted Jan 13, 2026|From forex.com|2 comments
Speculation over yen intervention is heating up again as USD/JPY creeps back toward the same danger zone that triggered action in 2024. But this time feels different. Back then, ballooning rate differentials between the U.S. and Japan were the ...
- Submitted Jan 13, 2026|From forex.com
The Australian dollar is entering a tactically interesting phase, with price action diverging across key crosses. While AUD/USD momentum is rolling over near major volume and trend levels, EUR/AUD is showing early signs of a corrective bounce within ...
- Submitted Jan 12, 2026|From forex.com|4 comments
New Zealand business confidence jumped to the highest level in over a decade in Q4, according to the latest NZIER quarterly survey of business optimism, with hiring and investment intentions lifting sharply relative to the September quarter. A net ...
- Submitted Jan 8, 2026|From forex.com
The Canadian dollar has come under renewed selling pressure this week, weighed down by softer domestic economic data and its sensitivity to oil prices following the US takeover of Venezuela. At the same time, the Japanese yen has attracted ...
- Submitted Dec 21, 2025|From forex.com
December seasonality is beginning to turn more supportive for the Australian dollar, raising the prospect of a late-year Santa rally in AUD/USD. However, with the pair stalling below key resistance and several traditional correlations breaking down, ...
- Submitted Dec 17, 2025|From forex.com
The bearish unwind in USD/CAD we warned of in late November played out exactly as flagged, delivering a powerful breakdown following an obvious reversal signal on the weeklies. But after such a steep slide, the move now looks stretched. Recent U.S. ...
- Submitted Dec 16, 2025|From forex.com
November’s Nonfarm Payrolls report was mixed, though it slightly favoured doves as unemployment rose 0.2 percentage points to a four-year high of 4.6%. This marks a fourth consecutive monthly increase — the worst run since January 2009. While the ...
- Submitted Dec 11, 2025|From forex.com
The Japanese yen continues to underperform across the FX board, with most major yen crosses extending their broader uptrends into mid-December. While short-term pullbacks have emerged, the underlying technical bias for USD/JPY, CHF/JPY and AUD/JPY ...
- Submitted Dec 10, 2025|From forex.com
Softer labour data has taken some of the shine off AUD/USD’s recent run, reminding traders that rallies driven by policy expectations need continual upside surprises to sustain. With the RBA delivering an expected hawkish hold and the Aussie already ...
- Submitted Dec 9, 2025|From forex.com
As expected, overnight implied volatility in USD/CAD has surged ahead of the BoC and FOMC meetings. We’re also seeing 1-week implied volatility trade at a premium to the 1-month tenor, with both drifting higher. This sets the stage for two-way price ...
- Submitted Dec 8, 2025|From forex.com
The data flow points to the risk that the RBA may signal an end to the easing cycle, reinforcing its hawkish tone from November. Inflation remains sticky, demand is firm and labour market slack is waning, all of which argue against further cuts. ...
- Submitted Dec 7, 2025|From forex.com|3 comments
Japan’s inflation story is evolving fast. A sharp upward revision in the price deflator and accelerating wage growth point to a structural shift away from decades of disinflation. With unions pushing for sizeable pay hikes and markets pricing a ...
- Submitted Dec 4, 2025|From forex.com|3 comments
I’ve outlined my bearish case for the US dollar in prior analysis, based on the view that the bullish rally from the 2011 low peaked at 110.35 in 2022. The lower high in January looks like the start of an impulsive move lower, while the current ...
- Submitted Dec 3, 2025|From forex.com
NZD/USD has delivered on the bullish breakout risk flagged last week, surging through major resistance and hitting multi-month highs. Technicals and momentum indicators point to further upside, with .5800 and beyond in focus. Pullbacks towards .5755 ...
- Submitted Dec 2, 2025|From forex.com
AUD/USD has staged a decisive bullish breakout, supported by hawkish shifts in Australia’s rate outlook and strong risk appetite. Technical signals reinforce the upside bias, but the next 48 hours bring heavy event risk: Australia’s GDP and ...
- Submitted Dec 1, 2025|From forex.com|11 comments
See how the US dollar typically performs in December, which FX pairs show the strongest seasonal trends, and where bullish or bearish patterns tend to cluster. Using data from LSEG, I’ve compared monthly percentage returns for the US Dollar Index ...
- Submitted Dec 1, 2025|From forex.com|2 comments
The U.S. dollar is showing signs of near-term strength, with price signals pointing to upside even as the macro backdrop argues otherwise. Monday’s ISM manufacturing PMI reinforced the soft tone in U.S. data, showing deeper contraction in new orders ...