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venzen replied Oct 21, 2013Thanks Ramases, i don't have to post a chart! I see a triangle too and we should reach the end of E later today or tomorrow. The depth of E is unknown but it will most likely overshoot the LTL as people pile in thinking the bear has awoken. On ...
XAU/USD & XAG/USD - Gold & Silver Traders Thread
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venzen replied Oct 21, 2013very nice analysis and forecast. looking at that stochastic it seems the upside has already begun - just seems the stoch won't allow the additional downside shown - although the reverse divergence in RSI might... thanks for the headsup R2R, we have ...
XAU/USD & XAG/USD - Gold & Silver Traders Thread
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venzen commented Oct 21, 2013ho-hum... the hollow sound of so much chest-beating (in the article) or is that the underwhelming 'plop' of stating the obvious they seek to grace us with?
There’s no alternative to U.S. in global economy
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venzen commented Oct 21, 2013hehehe, perish the thought! i like the one where if a rice trader accidentally stepped in some panda poop in the woods, they had to make a broth from it and consume all by dawn of the following day - or forever have their rice trades plagued by ...
Be patient, the yen trade is not over yet
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venzen commented Oct 21, 2013Maybe take their analysis for what it's worth, because every trader "fails" many times on the path to success - it's just the nature of the game. However, to advance from trader (in an institution) to analyst requires some fairly hardcore ...
Be patient, the yen trade is not over yet
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venzen commented Oct 21, 2013very sharp, SB! i wonder which came first: the Japanese rice chart candle or the candle made from wax? at the newly invented candle shop: Three Black Crows - 150 Yen Doji - Free!
Be patient, the yen trade is not over yet
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venzen replied Oct 21, 2013As you say, every framework is an over-simplification, but this helped me better understand the macro-economic dynamics pertaining to forex. I had been trading for several years before comprehending RoRo, so at least now I'm in with the "in" thing ...
Sultans of Swing
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venzen replied Oct 21, 2013hi numbnuts, the way you lay out the inter-relations is logical and a welcome correlation refresher! a question: you're looking to long GU despite the case for weakening made in the HSBC document? I think the GU could continue rallying but it is on ...
Sultans of Swing
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venzen replied Oct 21, 2013RSI signals are central to my method. Your combination of 5 and 14 periods makes sense and you will be able to enter and exit reliably - as explained below. Your accuracy with entry and exit also improves if you're simultaneously watching multiple ...
EurAnalysis
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venzen replied Oct 21, 2013no problem, PA = Price Action (as in "Gold PA is pushing above 1320 right now" or "PA has corrected the recent high") H&S = head and shoulders formation TF = timeframe (of your chart, so M5 for 5min chart, H1 for a 1hour TF chart, daily TF, etc) You ...
XAU/USD & XAG/USD - Gold & Silver Traders Thread
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venzen replied Oct 21, 2013it would be easy for me to start imagining reasons and write an essay, but the truth is: I don't know. At the larger TFs you can see they're at different stages of trend so they are not actually correlated. I'd say they may be unfolding similar ...
XAU/USD & XAG/USD - Gold & Silver Traders Thread
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venzen replied Oct 21, 2013that's quite a claim! can you please substantiate with a chart or some analysis?
XAU/USD & XAG/USD - Gold & Silver Traders Thread
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venzen replied Oct 21, 2013Here's a song Amy Winehouse wrote for all the Euro bears! video
Sultans of Swing
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venzen replied Oct 20, 2013HSBC confirms the forecast for EurJpy to come off its highs in a meaningful way. They have the cross at 129 by year-end and 117 by the end of next year. These levels fit an EW analysis, but the time window is IMO too generous. The fact that EJ will ...
Sultans of Swing
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venzen replied Oct 20, 2013Just about halfway through the document now and stopping to grab some coffee. Excellent reading and insightful analysis! The notion that there are multiple simultaneous models driving FX behaviour explains a lot about what we have been seeing. ...
Sultans of Swing
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venzen replied Oct 20, 2013I was debating whether I should post this chart, since it is essentially the same as Ramses's count. But I figure the analysis may be useful anyway. The different colour labels are explained below: From my prefered count (white and grey labels) I ...
XAU/USD & XAG/USD - Gold & Silver Traders Thread
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venzen replied Oct 20, 2013From my count I anticipate one more wave up which would be wave 5. This would hit the monthly pivot at 1,345, touch the rising TL as well as put the necessary diversion in MACD and RSI for a reversal. However, before the 5th wave can happen, RSI and ...
Sultans of Swing
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venzen replied Oct 20, 2013PipTrapper & NumbNutz, Enjoying the conversation but cannot really contribute much today. Sometimes it's better to just listen and not talk, i guess. I'm really focussing on chart technicals for the past few weeks and I feel myself getting better ...
Sultans of Swing
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venzen replied Oct 18, 2013Physical Gold Squeeze Returns - ZH url also read the comments
XAU/USD & XAG/USD - Gold & Silver Traders Thread
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venzen replied Oct 18, 2013This is what it can seem like (stop hunting) but its not - draw a TL above and one below the PA after the drop today: it's a clear triangle in a channel. It's even identical in structure and timing to the triangle formed in the Asian session!
XAU/USD & XAG/USD - Gold & Silver Traders Thread