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- skillz16 replied Jun 25, 2019
Terrible numbers. Not sure why it is not higher. Exited my short for ~ $10 and want to re-short higher. I'd think this spikes... given those TERRIBLE USD numbers.
EURUSD only
- skillz16 replied Jun 24, 2019
Big Short: It's time to call bullshit. Haha. I just shorted half my position. No stops, use options. I think it has at most 2 days of middling activity until a pullback. I'm willing to be paid swap while short. Even if it does not go down incredibly ...
EURUSD only
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Swap on positions held over the weekend: is it by days held?
Started Jun 21, 2019|Trading Discussion|2 replies
If you hold over the weekend, will the SWAP paid or received be 2 to 3 times bigger? Does this ...
- skillz16 commented Jun 21, 2019
My guess is the US cuts, then over the next few years goes negative. Then starts to resemble Japan.. then market returns, even with dividends reinvested, go to around 2%. Then capitalism "sputters" along in low growth mode and debt overhang. I think ...
The World Now Has $13 Trillion of Debt With Below-Zero Yields
- skillz16 commented Jun 21, 2019
Lol. It is all going to break. Next Fed meeting might see rates cut (Supposedly). This destines rates to be negative eventually in the US and that would seem to be the death of capitalism... once US rates go negative as well. It is becoming so ...
The World Now Has $13 Trillion of Debt With Below-Zero Yields
- skillz16 commented Jun 19, 2019
Honestly, the market moves because it believes the Fed. Not vis versa. The best the FED can do is set expectations, and hope that changes market behavior as desired.
Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
- skillz16 commented Jun 19, 2019
Market is already implying cut. And market expectations are everything. They will position to a cut over the next days. I give it a half a trading month for long entries, but just me. The dot plot appears to have anchored the cut expectations and ...
Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
- skillz16 commented Jun 19, 2019
Technically, a cut is being forecast for next meeting (end of JULY).. which I agree is kinda nuts.
but... url image Guess is that those will change over the coming weeks, and the dollar will firm a bit more. That seems overdone. I'd ...Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
- skillz16 commented Jun 19, 2019
My post above, with the dot plots, implies the rate cut now... also the probabilities show it for next meeting: url Now in the next meeting if there is no cut, THEN the EURUSD will plunge. Trying to scale longs here now/soon... CORRECTION: so no ...
Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
- skillz16 commented Jun 19, 2019
Nope.. probable cut next meeting. And they just anchored interest rate expectations lower. See images above.
Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
- skillz16 commented Jun 19, 2019
OLD expectatioins: image NEW: image Looks like the new are lower from 2019-2021. Just below 2.5 versus being above it before... right?
Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
- skillz16 commented Jun 19, 2019
Duh... =D What does the dot plot say about expectations? Methinks they put them down by a decent amount compared to where they used to be... (based on this price action currently)
Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
- skillz16 replied Jun 10, 2019
Sell this now, thank me later (1.1313)...
No stops, but would be 1.13570 I suppose. Target is 1.12 over next 1-2 trading weeks (if not lower...)EURUSD only
- skillz16 replied Jun 7, 2019
Hahahaha! 3 CUTS!?! Why? That is pretty much going to confine us to Negative Interest Rate Policy if this comes to pass. I'd think they would use any other policy tool BUT this... haha, right? FED: well we know there is going to be a recession at ...
EURUSD only
- skillz16 replied Jun 6, 2019
RE: url 70%+ chance for rate cut at the July meeting?!? I'm going to file this under the no way spot... unless they WANT to get stuck in negative interest rate policy (NIRP). If anything, they will stick at no hikes... unless the trade stuff ...
EURUSD only
- skillz16 commented Jun 5, 2019
Yeah, I know right? The only reason to cut rates in these circumstances is that the financing of our debt is too high to handle... haha, right? and I'd think this is basically the admission that the US will see negative rates, should they cut in a ...
US nonfarm payrolls eyed as market pressure grows on Fed to cut rates
- skillz16 replied May 16, 2019
Ha, time for the algos to read "China"... "Sell".. and "US Treasuries".. and cause a flash-crash US Rate spike up, and EUR/USD plummet.
image EURUSD only
- skillz16 replied May 16, 2019
US data all strong... I'd personally think we fall below 1.20 and start to stay below here soon.
but... FX so you know! EURUSD only
- skillz16 replied May 16, 2019
WOAH! This is a BIG move from where we are at... haha, right? That is like 8-10 percent in about 4 months... Looking at the current trend line starting in FEB, it looks like we see about 0.01 down per month. So that would put 1.10 at 10-12 months ...
EURUSD only
- skillz16 replied May 16, 2019
Has anyone else been having a hard time this past 3 trading weeks? Is it only me? Am I over-reacting? Ha, sorry, I'm venting. Does not seem like there has been a solid range or direction. I've not lost money, and I've made a small amount, but it ...
EURUSD only