- Search Energy EXCH
- 176 Results (147 Replies, 29 Comments)
- effix02 replied Jul 7, 2017
Unemployment rate hardly disappoints mate. It's a result of higher participation rate. 4.3% was anyway below long-term 'normal' rate so unsustainable.
EURUSD
- effix02 replied Jul 6, 2017
I don't think Draghi is taking anything down anymore. He's effectively lost any power of influence now. They've let the cat out of the bag and now everyone and his grandmother is shouting 'tapering'. What they say contrary to what they signal is ...
EURUSD
- effix02 replied Jul 6, 2017
That's roughly what I thought you may have on your mind. My point is that doesn't necessarily mean Euro going through the roof. ECB is going to tighten so Fed is already doing the same. European economy is in a much more precarious state than it's ...
EURUSD
- effix02 replied Jul 6, 2017
And what are those 'long term fundamentals' if you don't mind...?
EURUSD
- effix02 replied Jul 6, 2017
I think tomorrow is gonna be a great day for euro and it will reach 1.15. Exactly because of NFP. Don't remember when it was the last time it was usd positive. Even if (and that's a big if) headline job number is as expected then wage growth ...
EURUSD
- effix02 replied Jul 6, 2017
It certainly is! Sorry. I must have got so usd negative in my outlook as to even lose track of passing time today.
EURUSD
- effix02 replied Jul 6, 2017
No chance in my opinion. Bond yields in EU moved up quite a lot on the back of ECB minutes release. That's usually not something that peters out immediately. Expect euro going higher on US open. Personally, I also expect NFP to be in general USD ...
EURUSD
- effix02 replied Jul 6, 2017
Are you being serious? I've never seen any notable reaction for good ADP print, certainly not to the extent you mention.
EURUSD
- effix02 replied Jul 5, 2017
WSJ: "Federal Reserve officials have indicated there is a strong chance they will announce in September a decision to start shrinking the central bank’s portfolio of bonds and other assets, while putting off until December any further interest-rate ...
EURUSD
- effix02 commented Jul 2, 2017
Very balanced and important statements from this vocal oponent of ECB loose policy. This all crazy, irrational Euro buying is a classic example of 'buying the rumour' Tapering expectations blown out of any proportion will face the fact of gradual ...
Weidmann: ECB policy will react if inflation cutlook changes - BBG
- effix02 commented Jun 30, 2017
I don't think that article paints a really rosy picture to be honest. Monetary expansion must have helped with growth but that would be it. Big discrepancies between the countries, stubbornly low wages and inflation, low productivity and the need ...
A European Economic Miracle?
- effix02 replied Jun 30, 2017
[quote=Takisd;10039400] And I still hold the view that draghis spike was fragile... That would be a job cut out for an army of psychologists to interpret/explain the logic behind herding behaviour when you collectively believe what you want to ...
EURUSD
- effix02 replied Jun 29, 2017
Not that pumping up euro makes any sense in my view but the most probable set up for Friday imo is: - there are a few important data releases both in US and Eurozone - safe bet US data will disappoint again as it has already become a pattern over ...
EURUSD
- effix02 replied Jun 29, 2017
[quote=skillz16;10034535]I think people are confused with how the fed is going to "invert the yield curve" to slow the overheating credit/"buy room for the next crisis" to be able to lower rates when the ECONOMY is bad. Although this last part makes ...
EURUSD
- effix02 replied Jun 29, 2017
Higher than expected GDP is affecting bond yields right now, which is a big thing provided it stays that way. No idea what you're talking about in terms of claims however. What is 'pretty bad'??? difference of a few k to the forecast - that's ...
EURUSD
- effix02 replied Jun 28, 2017
I've always been a perma-bear on euro but still it catches me by surprise that anybody may be thinking it will end up around 1.05 within the next few months. Sep/Oct will exactly be the time when ECB tapering shouts get louder and louder. Cannot ...
EURUSD
- effix02 replied Jun 28, 2017
In my opinion, this sentiment may well keep euro at elevated levels for a long time. Hopefully there will be some major pullbacks along the way.
EURUSD
- effix02 replied Jun 28, 2017
There aren't any. All is an expectations of ECB tapering to come at some point.
EURUSD