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- AnniLi commented Jun 4, 2018
Populist leaders have a weakness for soft facts which appeal to gullible but sometimes large sections of the electorate. Only with time passing do the hard facts come back to stare everyone in the face and we see previously committed supporters ...
Nothing good to say about trade
- AnniLi commented Jun 4, 2018
Populist leaders have a weakness for soft facts which appeal to gullible but sometimes large sections of the electorate. Only with time passing do the hard facts come back to stare everyone in the face and we see previously committed supporters ...
Talks end with China warning trade benefits at risk if U.S. imposes tariffs
- AnniLi commented Jun 2, 2018
The man is irrelevant. Trump is not a fool nor a genius but in less than 2 years he has provided convincing evidence of incompetence for his office. Of course it will take time for the evidence to be more generally appreciated. China is playing him ...
The Employment Situation - May 2018
- AnniLi commented May 30, 2018
Union implies unity of purpose. Forcing a member to stay on does not encourage others at all. Be deeply suspicious of clubs which are difficult to leave.
Italy Panic Is Bad News for U.K. as EU Seeks Brexit Consequences
- AnniLi commented May 29, 2018
He is describing a very bullish case for USD, so bullish that in the light of USD strength and weaker growth abroad the case for FED hikes will be much weaker. Or, if the FED sticks to hikes then we can see the USD rise a further 15% to 20%. The ...
El-Erian: Fallout from Italy's political crisis reveals US as the 'only economy with real legs'
- AnniLi commented May 29, 2018
The medium is the message. Donkey gets the message across.
A televangelist wants his followers to pay for a $54 million private jet
- AnniLi commented May 29, 2018
Big picture: the European Union and the EUR are both going to be continually threatened in this way for many years to come. Economic reforms and a certain type of recovery from the GFC are providing hope to the central powers that the vision can ...
Italy's Di Maio says never sought euro exit: Facebook - BBG
- AnniLi commented May 27, 2018
EU spokespeople are blind to the fact that UK is going thru the door. It is going thru at a glacial pace - yes, but thru it, it is going. Try clanging bells, fireworks, 18 century canons, blitzkriegs,V1s and V2s, financial crises, oil crises, ...
EU's Barnier urges UK to accept EU court deal for Brexit
- AnniLi commented May 25, 2018
New Zealand's success has been due to economic orthdoxy including free trade. Brexit offers an appropriate orthodox strategy. Consider that open trade is orthodox so there is no rationale for the EU to exist at all. Unless, of course, there is a ...
Scotland's Bid for Another Shot at Independence Is Creeping Back
- AnniLi commented May 22, 2018
When I use the word 'relative' it means relative to other developed countries and their currencies. I start with a roughly 12 month horizon and analyse shorter term periods which vary in length depending on the issues coming up. So my analysis says ...
Rates Linkup Comes Back to Sting Dollar Bulls as Yields Plateau
- AnniLi commented May 22, 2018
Its a bullish climate for USD. Positive expansion, relative economic momentum, fiscal stimulus, real asset price inflation, relative political stability, greater prominence in world affairs, low energy prices and takeover of British royalty. Yields ...
Rates Linkup Comes Back to Sting Dollar Bulls as Yields Plateau
- AnniLi commented May 21, 2018
A refrandam cannot be undone.
U.K. Conservatives Split by Brexit Seek to Unite for Survival
- AnniLi commented May 18, 2018
GBP is very much approaching safe haven status because it must becoming immune to bad news and at the same time sources of bad news are beginning to dry up. The combo of short term interest rates and the value of the GBP (a handy indicator of ...
UK PM set to nominate 10 Tory peers in attempt to overcome Brexit defeats
- AnniLi commented May 16, 2018
There is the possibility that mutual interest will be stronger than basic instincts. Political stability is allowing global trade and development to accelerate. China is ahead of USA in shaping its strategies. The more integrated the world economy ...
America’s Collision Course With China
- AnniLi commented May 16, 2018
The GDP growth differential is in favor of China by 3 to 4%pa. So USA has a much larger problem than China. In politics when you get the important numbers so wrong and act as though they are in your favor - when they obviously are not - you need to ...
America’s Collision Course With China
- AnniLi commented May 15, 2018
UK monetary conditions are extremely accommodating already (combo of short rates and forex) which raises real questions about what NewtonsCash is having at his parties. In fact, UK monetary conditions are representative of a full-blown recession ...
The UK economy’s slowdown is clear to all. Except the Bank of England
- AnniLi commented May 15, 2018
Thanks for the comment, fxsport. A sharply rising USD would be further pressure on Trump Palace because the FED would be behind events and hamstrung (not able to raise rates) and it would be Mnuchin's call to intervene in the currency market (or ...
Why it may be downhill from here for the U.S. dollar
- AnniLi commented May 15, 2018
Spare a thought for 55 people killed at the Gaza/ Israeli 'border'. Whatever your faith this senseless loss of precious life challenges us all to pray for tolerance, wisdom and non-violent processes for change. The Middle East 'problems' are of ...
Royal wedding's $1.4 billion economic impact: Here's the boost by sector
- AnniLi commented May 15, 2018
Each cycle is different and in this cycle US short term interest rates are way below where they 'should' be for this, late stage with (again) the Fed less certain than a few weeks ago. So a) the global financial crisis is still with us; b) every ...
Why it may be downhill from here for the U.S. dollar