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- Submitted Feb 24, 2026|From forex.com
My observation that options positioning was signalling a potential inflection point for gold prices has played out well. Gold futures have since risen just under $300 (6%), validating the shift in skew from extreme put demand to renewed call ...
- Submitted Feb 23, 2026|From forex.com
The weekly chart shows that bitcoin futures slid 53.5% from the October high to just shy of 60k in only 17 weeks. Naturally, this has pushed the RSI into oversold territory, although it is not always the best timing tool for a reversal. Still, there ...
- Submitted Feb 23, 2026|From forex.com
Fresh tariff noise from Donald Trump has once again dragged trade tensions back into focus, a theme markets are becoming painfully familiar with. Following the Supreme Court’s decision to strike down his emergency tariffs, Trump warned that ...
- Submitted Feb 22, 2026|From forex.com|1 comment
New Zealand’s household sector continues to impress, even before the economy feels anything close to the full impact of the RBNZ’s 325bps easing cycle. If that resilience proves broader, it keeps the prospect of an earlier policy pivot from the RBNZ ...
- Submitted Feb 19, 2026|From forex.com
Every so often we hear phrases such as “everything is in the price”, implying a technical analyst does not need to know anything else about a market to make a call. It can be slightly misleading, however, because a supposed reversal pattern – such ...
- Submitted Feb 19, 2026|From forex.com
We’re heading into the back end of the week with a stacked data calendar in both Europe and the United States, and that’s unlikely to be background noise for markets. This week has already shown how sensitive EUR/USD and GBP/USD are to shifts in ...
- Submitted Feb 18, 2026|From forex.com
The muted reaction from Australian currency and bond markets suggests today’s employment report changes little for the RBA’s next meeting, which still appears set to leave rates unchanged at 3.85%. Overall, the data leans more supportive of the ...
- Submitted Feb 17, 2026|From forex.com
The Bank continues to signal a very shallow tightening cycle, with the cash rate projected to reach just 3% by 2028, implying that policymakers see neutral settings near that level. That assumption warrants caution. The RBNZ has a history of ...
- Submitted Feb 17, 2026|From forex.com
Last week I warned that the grinding nature of gold’s rally was reminiscent of a dead cat bounce — a bearish pattern that can lure bulls into a false breakout before turning sharply lower. Given the article was published near last week’s high, the ...
- Submitted Feb 17, 2026|From forex.com|1 comment
Today’s focus will be on Australia's Wage Price Index. Quarterly growth of 0.8% is expected, an outcome that would leave the annual pace unchanged at 3.4%, assuming no meaningful revisions. Historically, this release has a strong track record of ...
- Submitted Feb 16, 2026|From forex.com
Markets are confidently pricing rate cuts from the Bank of England even as inflation remains well above target, leaving GBP/USD exposed to any disruption in the disinflation story. With wages and services inflation sitting at the heart of the ...
- Submitted Feb 16, 2026|From forex.com|1 comment
Last week’s -3% decline marked the worst week since November for USD/JPY. However, the move was driven more by a resurgence in Japanese yen strength than outright US dollar weakness. The yen gained broadly against all FX majors, with weekly charts ...
- Submitted Feb 15, 2026|From forex.com
AUD/USD has enjoyed a strong start to the year, climbing for a fourth consecutive week and briefly trading more than 20% above its April low. However, signs of fatigue are emerging. Upper wicks on the weekly chart, stretched momentum readings and ...
- Submitted Feb 14, 2026|From forex.com|1 comment
USD/JPY starts the week on unstable footing as strengthening yen flows, fragile risk sentiment and rising pressure on carry positions collide. With traditional macro drivers offering only limited clarity, traders may need to look elsewhere for ...
- Submitted Feb 11, 2026|From forex.com
The yen is rallying at a time it arguably shouldn’t be. Higher US Treasury yields and a solid nonfarm payrolls report have done little to slow the move, with shifts in Japan’s yield curve and fading fiscal anxiety emerging as the dominant near-term ...
- Submitted Feb 10, 2026|From forex.com
Hawkish remarks from Australia’s deputy central bank chief, combined with buoyant risk appetite and broader US dollar weakness, have pushed AUD/USD back to fresh multi-year highs ahead of key US jobs data later in the session. With the technical ...
- Submitted Feb 10, 2026|From forex.com|9 comments
The US dollar extended its decline on Tuesday alongside a further slide in the US 2-year yield, with losses most pronounced against the Japanese yen. Softer US retail sales reinforced last week’s repricing of Federal Reserve policy expectations, ...
- Submitted Feb 8, 2026|From forex.com
Speculative positioning across FX futures continues to rotate away from the US dollar, with traders accelerating bearish bets while selectively adding exposure to the euro and Canadian dollar. The latest COT report shows USD sentiment reaching its ...
- Submitted Feb 8, 2026|From forex.com
The Australian dollar outperformed all major currencies last week as the RBA’s hawkish rate hike pushed front-end yields to cycle highs. AUD/USD closed above 70c for the first time in two years, supported by yield differentials and broad-based AUD ...
- Submitted Feb 6, 2026|From forex.com|7 comments
Gold and silver markets remain stuck in volatile, two-way trade after January delivered record price swings across precious metals. While sharp end-of-month sell-offs produced classic reversal signals on higher timeframes, history suggests such ...