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Bones replied Jan 14, 2024Hello Vincent This week is a spinning top, if it was all relatively higher I would feel more bearish.
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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Bones replied Jan 13, 2024the fact it respects the weekly TL should be noted, but I see huge problems above, price is trapped between a bullish monthly and high res, with 2 potential major lines image image image
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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Bones commented Jan 11, 2024Right, you think it's debatable that QE affects house prices, QE= sending IR to 0%? anyway, call it a third of people own their house outright, those people do not set house prices. I keep it simple, the cost of money WILL bring prices down as the ...
BOE Gov. Bailey: It is important to return UK inflation to target
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Bones commented Jan 11, 2024It is more complex than the average that's why I keep it simple,
Without QE, leverage simply couldn't go that high a ratio. QE is a wealth transference in the extreme. From cash to asset. Fewer houses sold means fewer houses affecting ...BOE Gov. Bailey: It is important to return UK inflation to target
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Bones commented Jan 10, 2024on the demand side 2023
BOE Gov. Bailey: It is important to return UK inflation to target
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Bones commented Jan 10, 2024What about basic maths, you can't go 10x wage with normalised rates, as long as they don't print more money or introduce any crazy scheme, house prices will fall mathematically speaking. It has already been delayed with the 6-month holiday. I would ...
BOE Gov. Bailey: It is important to return UK inflation to target
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Bones commented Jan 10, 2024So, as a trader you understand moving averages,
BOE Gov. Bailey: It is important to return UK inflation to target
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Bones commented Jan 10, 2024Do you really believe house prices are 10x wage because of supply and demand, anyway house sales are way down because the cost of money doubled or tripled
BOE Gov. Bailey: It is important to return UK inflation to target
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Bones commented Jan 10, 2024that land registry data is from latter 2022 6 months from the agreed to sale minimum then only 10% reported in 1-6 months with 45% still left to report after a year point is there's a massive lag in actual data
BOE Gov. Bailey: It is important to return UK inflation to target
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Bones commented Jan 10, 2024don't forget the only real raw data is the land registry which has a massive lag in reporting, when they do it is only 10% of the sales months after that you see full reporting. So from sale to land registry is at least 6 months for 10% of the data. ...
BOE Gov. Bailey: It is important to return UK inflation to target
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Bones commented Jan 10, 2024house price is falling
BOE Gov. Bailey: It is important to return UK inflation to target
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Bones commented Jan 10, 2024wow, now Brexit makes more sense lol
Macron picks Attal, 34, as France's youngest PM
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Bones commented Jan 5, 2024All of the West has problems with its workforce, you don't think fewer workers is bad?
The Employment Situation -- December 2023
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Bones commented Jan 5, 2024here are the working age demographics on a chart, slightly skewed because you start work later and end later in reality
The Employment Situation -- December 2023
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Bones commented Jan 5, 2024First, go back 20Y and see how many births =about 3 million then take deaths in 2023= about 3 million in fact, it's worse than that, because more people are retiring from work than ever, so the workforce isn't growing by 200k a month by a growing ...
The Employment Situation -- December 2023
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Bones commented Jan 4, 2024The money didn't exist before the loan, banks make money out of the interest, and the money disappears when you pay it back. Everything nets to Zero.
UK to Hit 2% Inflation Target by Spring in Upgraded Outlook
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Bones commented Jan 4, 2024I highly doubt they will hit 2% by spring,
UK to Hit 2% Inflation Target by Spring in Upgraded Outlook
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Bones commented Jan 4, 2024banks print loans mate
UK to Hit 2% Inflation Target by Spring in Upgraded Outlook