video

The Swamp

For a fall, I think it needs to remain sustained below 1639, Take a 12h close below 1617, and probably a London 12h and day below 1606. There may be a long in the lower blue area. That may create a later chance to short the upper blue again.

The Swamp

Monday the 6h close at 9pm est below 1629. Could be a positive sign for a drop. The close side may matter. It may resist if sustained below it. It may also support more of an area where the close side matters.

The Swamp

The day closed below. Lets make there is no gap open above. Followed by a 12h close below in early London. That will ensure the R is valid. The R I noted is 1645/39. I want the 12h close below 1639. Better forbears would be the 12h -1628. Best best ...

The Swamp

If I'm correct about is being bearish PA should not stray to far above 1639/45. An "oh shit" stop above 1666. May suffice. Not in stone yet. But A day close below that blue box, and the 12h after. Greatly improves the odds 1617 will have pressure to ...

The Swamp

image

The Swamp

Pa is likely bearish below 1642/39... Unless its above sustained. If sustained above, and later crossed below. Its likely bearish again. But 1617 can reject it until a 12h close is below 1617. The day trend is 1510. Break the 12h and 1510 looks in ...

The Swamp

You may want to take a little profit. .. maybe a little more at 1665.. LC is over, 1666 is no longer the attractor. But 1665 may have R value on the 6h. A possible short there. 1617 is the 12h trend support. So make of that what you may.

The Swamp

stops should be 1617 now.

The Swamp

I got nothing bullish yet.. the 12h trend may support 1617 ish. All looks bearish toward 1617.. I will switch to a 5m, since pa is close to 1617 and see if something changes.

The Swamp

usd bullish..eu bearish. but lc may pull it to 1665/66.... It think if it does it will reject hard back down. 1h to go. It don't look bouncy.

The Swamp

yesterday it bounced 1643.. It does that often at 100 pips. If it was to be bullish. It should of risen back to 1743. After 1843. It didn't rise much. Not even 50 pips.

The Swamp

we got more news in 30 mins.. So far the rise back to 166x was a head fake. The 12h trend support at 1617.. Today on close is a 12h. LC is the next 6h close. Atm pa has made a LL. A lower 6h and 12h close. Pa is in the shadow of 1617 at the current ...

The Swamp

The last 12h confirms more of the bearish view. It may be unable to reach 1665/83. But if it does, its pointing to down. It may be a classic head fake to lure buyers. Later falling again to a LL probably 1617. The fall may be after LC attracts it ...

The Swamp

image

The Swamp

If nothing changes, the 6h closed below 1676. The 12h looks like it will too. That to me still indicates bearish. Even so, it may reach for 1665/83. Before making a later in the day push down. The Adr is about 49 pips now. The 12h at 1617.. add 49 ...

The Swamp

image

The Swamp

1665/83 area still may have a sell chance. Its looking bearish. It may have problems getting there. The 1643 area is where I thought it may bounce.. It didn't get above 1663. On the bounce so far. Its testing that lower magenta line. Sustained below ...

The Swamp

image All I have points down. at the 100 pip mark it bounces sometimes. I don't know why. A lot of bots may use 100.

The Swamp

image

The Swamp