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Patient1 commented Jul 3, 2015If no vote, as the dax gets hammered and the funds liquidate their position(having to buy euro) you had better have a BIG stoploss their is a lot of money sitting there. much easier and less risky to keep the risk positions in mind and trade the ...
Greece Referendum: What Happens If They Vote “No”
- Patient1 commented Jul 3, 2015
Their is a potential for major Euro upside if the vote is no (after knee jerk reaction)........The Euro has been "The" funding currency for quite a while now. take a look at e/u and dax. They move opposite eachother and are very much correlated. ...
Greece Referendum: What Happens If They Vote “No”
- Patient1 replied Jun 26, 2015
Greece deal = u/j higher No deal = u/j lower Japan is the key here. Its a risk currency, risk on, risk off. No deal means market uncertainty and Japan will strengthen as participants reduce risk. Deal, Japan will weaken as market assumes risk and ...
USD/JPY Discussion
- Patient1 replied Jun 26, 2015
This week we just had a great fundamental set up. Risk currencies (AUD primarily), rallied early week into Thursday with market expecting a Greek deal. After the Deal fell through and a weekend meeting was announced, funds needed to reduce exposure ...
No brainer fundamental trades
- Patient1 commented Jun 26, 2015
I wouldn't really say its a good scenario (maybe long term)......As drachma quickly becomes worth less than the paper printed on, the pensions will be cut automatically through devaluation. I feel bad for the people that need to retire in the next ...
Some say back to the drachma for a Greek reboot
- Patient1 commented Jun 20, 2015
Seems to me like Greek leaders want the deal...... They just need the people to want it with them......really its the only way that they can win here
Week in FX: Emergency Eurogroup Meeting Top of the Agenda
- Patient1 commented Jun 20, 2015
what happens is anyone's guess. But, what if varoufakis game theory was really aimed at the greek people. Game Theory does not work when the opposition has the upper hand and expects it. It works, when you do not see it coming. I could be wrong, but ...
Week in FX: Emergency Eurogroup Meeting Top of the Agenda
- Patient1 commented Jun 15, 2015
aud/nzd might have some topside movement, especially if dairy auctions come in low tomorrow.
RBA Minutes of the Monetary Policy Meeting
- Patient1 commented Jun 13, 2015
^ this at me, or aimed at the article in general? I'm not seeing anywhere where people are talking about the fed surprise hiking. The consensus is moving more in the general direction of no hike this year, or late 2015. I doubt big time, that if ...
FOMC Preview: No Rate Hike
- Patient1 commented Jun 12, 2015
To be honest, the fed is worried about a strong dollar killing off exports and manufacturing. "If" they were to surprise raise, say .25 basis points, the dollar would first rally and then weaken substantially as no further rate hikes would be ...
FOMC Preview: No Rate Hike
- Patient1 commented May 3, 2015
True but, if they do not cut aud will appreciate rapidly. This is not good in a time of low commodity prices. They need low aud to keep the economy moving. The game of talking down needs to be backed up with " something" at this point. After the .25 ...
Market attention on RBA and rate cut
- Patient1 replied May 3, 2015
One other thing to consider......jpy session will see this again pre decision. london and us will have to position ahead of time. Personally, I will wait as I think likely RBA cuts
EURUSD
- Patient1 replied May 3, 2015
hopefully plop by tomorrow night....or I'll just have to watch. It might be an ok buy here... but a nice sized stop would be needed. way better r/r if it comes down. Personally, I won't touch it if it doesn't come down from here. I'll wait for ...
EURUSD
- Patient1 commented May 3, 2015
RBA is going to cut .25 basis points. If they do not, Aud will explode and no one is going to listen to the the officials talking it down. They need a lower currency and they have to cut to add weight to the talking down of the currency. That is the ...
Market attention on RBA and rate cut
- Patient1 replied May 3, 2015
I don't necessarily agree with everything there.... I'm thinking that RBA wants, needs, lower aud for exports. I think they cut .25 basis point and remain dovish (open to further cuts). I doubt they ever go below 2.0% but this small cut will give ...
EURUSD
- Patient1 replied May 3, 2015
aud/nzd could also be a nice pair to watch after the RBA decison. With NZD expected to start easing rates and aud maybe at bottom or close too for easing this might have some upside after a nice pullback early week.
EURUSD
- Patient1 replied May 3, 2015
NFP is make or break for this correction that has been taking place. Personally I'm looking to short the current highs if price can come back to retest early week. I do not think big money gets behind this correction until, if, NFP confirms USD ...
EURUSD
- Patient1 commented Apr 28, 2015
The fed ate its own foot by constantly talking the dollar up. They have already seen an appreciation in the dollar beyond what would have happened had they just raised rates. If they want to have a "chance" at raising this year(not likely), they ...
Fed Seen Delaying Liftoff to September to Push Down Unemployment
- Patient1 commented Apr 13, 2015
There is a chance, (like last October) they would like to push price down before announcing more QE. Their is a big world meeting on the 17th. Maybe getting the ok. Of course who really knows, but this was deliberate for sure and given that it ...
Abe adviser: Yen at 105 is appropriate given purchasing power parity