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josip replied Mar 23, 2026update We are still bullish on H1 as long as we hold 1.1530. And this pullback to 1.1580 is completely healthy so far.


CHOCH: ~1.1530 → bullish start BOS: 1.1640 → bullish trend ...Only EURUSD
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josip replied Mar 23, 2026update That is exactly the type of fundamental shock that either completely destroys technical analysis or perfectly confirms it. Trump's tweet at such a time acted as a massive liquidity injection right at the lower boundary of the red descending ...
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josip replied Mar 23, 2026The trend is your friend until proven otherwise. Currently, the structure on charts (H1 and H4) is clearly bearish. Any bounce upward that fails to break the key barrier must technically be considered a retracement (pullback)—essentially the market ...
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josip replied Mar 23, 2026image On the chart, we can see that around 1.1490 there is an intersection of two important lines: Upper turquoise (blue) line: This line defined the downtrend. If price returns to it from above, it turns from resistance into support (a so-called ...
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josip replied Mar 21, 2026DXY H1 What does this mean for our EURUSD plan? DXY below the orange channel: This increases the probability of our EURUSD CHoCH UP (a breakout above 1.1578). DXY re-testing the orange line: This is the moment when EURUSD might perform a small ...
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josip replied Mar 21, 2026update1 Critical Point
1.1578 → Key LH (Lower High) 

Break above → CHoCH UP (Change of Character)
Rejection → Continuation Down
Bounce ...Only EURUSD
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josip replied Mar 20, 2026update
resistance zone / supply (H1) (Green line 1.15808) This level is now the main obstacle for further upside. Price has reacted to it very precisely – candle wicks have pierced into this zone, but the candle bodies have not closed ...Only EURUSD
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josip replied Mar 20, 2026If price breaks out of the wedge to the downside, the following steps apply: 1. Return to the blue line (1.1528) A downside break from the wedge would signal local buyer exhaustion. At that point, the 1.1528 level (blue line) becomes the main ...
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josip replied Mar 18, 2026update eurusd h1 Critical Point
1.1530 → resistance (key)
below → continuation down
1.1460 → Main demand
1.1445 → OB invalidation
If we stay above
...Only EURUSD
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josip replied Mar 18, 2026update EURUSD H1 The 1.1530–1.15315 level (new blue line) is now a much more precise representation of the current BOS (Break of Structure). What does this mean for the “Rising Wedge”? By moving above 1.1530 and holding there, our Rising Wedge has ...
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josip replied Mar 17, 20261.15242 Key Support (BOS UP H1): As long as we are above it, the yellow channel remains valid. If price closes below 1.15242, the yellow channel will start to break down. This rising wedge is saying: “Be careful, the buying momentum is slowing ...
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josip replied Mar 13, 2026EURUSD H1 view close to 1.1460 1.1460 represents a strong Bullish Order Block that was formed during the aggressive uptrend in the first half of 2025. We’ll see what it does to the price. Order Block (2025) – Institutional buying zone – Extreme Fair ...
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josip replied Mar 12, 2026update done. Price is at the lower boundary of the H1 descending channel (~1.1520). This is a typical place where the market decides between two scenarios. Scenario 1 – bounce from the channel (probable short-term pullback) If the lower line holds: ...
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josip replied Mar 11, 20261.1575 is an important intraday level if we want to continue higher.
BOS DOWN (H1): 1.1560-75
it is a local H1 swing low / micro S-R flip
it sits in the middle of the descending structure
it is an area where the ...Only EURUSD
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josip replied Mar 11, 2026update2 So we did touch the lower line of the falling wedge after all.
1.1530 =
H4 BOS DOWN When it breaks to the downside, it confirms bearish continuation.
It is also the lower boundary of the current consolidation. ...Only EURUSD
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josip replied Mar 11, 2026update But a falling wedge (green) has also formed… we’ll see whether it confirms and if we return above 1.16. The level around 1.16130 as currently key is valid
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josip replied Mar 11, 2026The level around 1.16130 is currently key because it represents the upper boundary of the current bearish channel and the zone where short-term momentum is decided. This level acts as the upper boundary of the downtrend. As long as price remains ...
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josip replied Mar 6, 2026EURUSD H1 The chart is currently forming a “stacked BOS” structure. When such a sequence appears on EURUSD, it is often followed by a large impulsive move without a significant pullback. On H1 it looks like this: 1.1620 → LH 1.1580 → HL → BOS (H1 ...
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