5-6 hours before this session is done. It is looking more and more like the portion of the volatility analysis (above) that talks about "compression" on the Daily bar due to "exhaustion" of the Weekly range, is pretty much being played out right ...

The Confession & The Secret

The hour volatility that I use comes from my custom volatility indicator. It is similar to ATR and uses two different moving averages that calculate different hour volatility across two different periods. So, the 32 pips average hour range came from ...

The Confession & The Secret

I'll get to it later - I'm trying to earn my cup of tea this morning.

The Confession & The Secret

No Jasmine Downy Pearl tea this morning!

The Confession & The Secret

Today's synthetic loss is complete at -71 pips. If you read the trade journal, then you will understand that I'm going to do run this as two recoveries at the same time. Read the journal, it should make sense. If not, then I'll go through the math ...

The Confession & The Secret

So, as not to confuse, I'll post the pic of the platform at the end and do the math then.

A Different Kind of Journal (EURUSD)

Failure has been built-in. Recover now initiated. Note: I will use this synthetic loss to simulate recovery for today and for yesterday. I can do that because I was flat the market coming into this V-Trigger, so it is the same thing as using today's ...

A Different Kind of Journal (EURUSD)

V-Trigger comes in at $1.41417 on the M15 at the close of the 1315 bar. image

A Different Kind of Journal (EURUSD)

Keep an eye on the Daily range. Because the U.K. session did not move it much, if it starts to unwind during the U.S. session, this could be huge later in the session today.

The Confession & The Secret

Just changed the above V-Trigger pic to show that the First trigger was not traded. I'm still very close to the swap zone and don't have time to post.

The Confession & The Secret

Difficult to type and swap at the same time, once it gets in the clear, I'll be back. Posting and swapping is costing me too much in Swap Expense.

The Confession & The Secret

Second V-Trigger reset itself again and closed confirmed at $1.41417 on M15 at close of 1300 hr GMT -1 bar. I'm busy swapping now, so I'll post more later. Swap method today will be a mixture of RPO and Swap on Close. Current = -25 pips. image

The Confession & The Secret

Second V-Trigger just turned "Off." I'm using a 'touching at close' trigger today, which means that if all of my Double Stoch arrangement touches my custom volatility indicator, then "set V-Trigger." That will cause some of them to turn "Off" before ...

The Confession & The Secret

Second V-Trigger now imminent - just waiting for current M15 bar to close by rule.

The Confession & The Secret

If you've read the journal (link on first post of this thread) then you know that I missed a V-Trigger at 1115 GMT -1, on the M15 chart, as I am not typically at work so early in the morning (4:15 am). Volatility Analysis for this Friday: Expected ...

The Confession & The Secret

I just missed a V-Trigger at 4153 on the M15 at 1115 GMT -1. That's 4:15 am my time, so I'm typically not up that early. So, I'll wait and trade the next V-Trigger. I am flat the market and waiting on Friday's V-Trigger which is now pending.

A Different Kind of Journal (EURUSD)

Pic of 1st V-Trigger outcome today (200+ pips): image

A Different Kind of Journal (EURUSD)

The second V-Trigger for today came with good Swing but no Momentum as the Daily range is depleted and the H1 volatility is now in compression. Thus, there will be no recovery attempt today. However, today's 1st V-Trigger ran from 4064 to an ...

A Different Kind of Journal (EURUSD)

The second V-Trigger today looks like it will set at between 2115 and 1230 hrs GMT -1. However, there is no more fuel remaining in the Daily range tank (bone dry) and just as expected, the H1 volatility has begun to enter its compression cycle. Two ...

The Confession & The Secret

Here's the accurate representation of Monday through Tuesday: image Total number of (actual) Swaps: 9 Total Swap cost (actual): -91 pips Swap Method: Swap on Close - Monday Recovery resulted in +7.5 pips net including synthetic swaps to produce a ...

The Confession & The Secret