Finalized continuation breaks once it happens

Quants Nested Zones Trading

I have accomplished today to draw my higher low and lower high breaks. image image image

Quants Nested Zones Trading

%80 of the daily average. If candle moves in average of 100 pips per day. When 80 pips is reached it have tendency to stop.

Quant's Probabilistic Idea's Method

Its not significant but atleast gives sense of what it been doing for past few months. It means opposite hit is close lower than %50. Doesnt guarantee that it will keep doing that as you said. In the code i made it to check based on your bar amount ...

Quant's Probabilistic Idea's Method

That is correct. Without touching the opposite it reached to MAX treshold only 32 times. So it was checking whichever touched first at candle close

Quant's Probabilistic Idea's Method

Things been very hectic here for a while. Im nearly done will make thread continue very soon

Quant's Probabilistic Idea's Method

After long time finally i was been able to improve my visualizer. Within few days i will come back to trading with improvised version of nested zones and some statistics. Been silent for a while. But it will be a good back. image

Quants Nested Zones Trading

Sorry for being away. I will be back by next week.

Quant's Probabilistic Idea's Method

I have created candles. Quants renko realistic online long time ago. It will draw Candle at the candle close. So if you attach on 1hr chart and input 1000 points. It will generate from Start date renko charts whenever candle closed > 100 pips. So ...

Quant's Probabilistic Idea's Method

So we have more UP bars at 0 hours compare to DN Bars. Did i get it correct ?

Quant's Probabilistic Idea's Method

Definitely walk forward can be the key for full automation. Especially there can be 100 rules found and even then 50 of them can fail and 50 of them can survive. So still you don't know which rules will be the survivor ones to keep making profit. ...

Quant's Probabilistic Idea's Method

Well, My suggestion is following. When we have a signal. Lets put this rare sequences in our way. So we say , We believe they will work atleast for 1 more time + I have x reasons to take this trade. So you will be picking what have been market ...

Quant's Probabilistic Idea's Method

Correct, Things that were consistent. Thats why once we found a good probability it never have guarantee that it will work. The questions is whether it will work for one more time. And if you have several odds at the same point. Going against it not ...

Quant's Probabilistic Idea's Method

The answer is no, You can run backtester for it or just try to change the code But if you have data enough it will go back all the way before covid period. The 5 day average is found from the bar time it checks. So Average keeps changing and non ...

Quant's Probabilistic Idea's Method

Imagine you have probability of hitting Max Treshold of the day %70 of the time. And you have %80 time that it goes the opposite. It closed at %39 and your max hit at %45 So do you see that , You have %80 probability winner. with %6 StopLoss and %9 ...

Quant's Probabilistic Idea's Method

Eh, I dont want to do all the work by my self. However i have plans to add that one for a private version for my own use to see if its really gonna work.

Quant's Probabilistic Idea's Method

Probability finding , Minimum movement average and Maximum movement average are my interest.. I like the idea of checking such rules. Write in simple full terms we can add it to poll for next week This week i am adding a tool for my self which will ...

Quant's Probabilistic Idea's Method

EURUSD M30 BOLINGER PERIOD : 8 Deviation : 2 You have %77 Probability for Down and UP Touches That they will close inside of the bands. It found the probability by looking atleast 900 touches for both directions and it been happening for past 66 ...

Quant's Probabilistic Idea's Method

V4 Uploaded , Fixed small bug about non day stats. Anyway v4 is last version. Feel free to improve. Here is one example. ON M5 Any First Candle Touch Mode have %72 probability that it will close Opposite of the touched direction. This is just ...

Quant's Probabilistic Idea's Method

I want to note that. As bolinger price moves if the candle makes new highs Most of the time you can get better entry points. However %65 is still good odds.. This is what have been happening for last 180 Bolinger Upper line touches on H4

Quant's Probabilistic Idea's Method