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      NZ Retail Trade Survey: March 2026 Quarter
      Submitted May 21, 2026      |From stats.govt.nz

      For the March 2026 quarter compared with the December 2025 quarter, unless otherwise stated: • the total volume of seasonally adjusted retail sales was $26 billion, up 0.9 percent • the total value of seasonally adjusted retail sales was $32 ...

      Bitcoin Monitor: Profitability Thresholds Hit
      Submitted May 21, 2026      |From schwab.com

      On balance, long-term and short-term bitcoin holders who are currently selling are now doing so at a profit for the first time in months, thanks to bitcoin's recent rally to multi-month highs. Clearing such a psychologically important hurdle is ...

      Barkin: Navigating Supply Shocks
      Submitted May 21, 2026      |From richmondfed.org

      Thank you for that kind introduction, and for inviting me to join you today. I'd like to share my perspectives on the U.S. economy — where we are now, and whether we are sailing toward calmer seas or into more turbulent waters. These are my thoughts alone and not those of anyone else on the Federal Open Market Committee or in the Federal Reserve System. Over the last several years, the U.S. economy has faced wave after wave of supply shocks. Every time one wave recedes, we’re hit with another: the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, the tariff tumult, and most recently, the conflict in the Middle East. We’ve seen smaller ripples, too: a ship lodged in a major trade route, bird flu, factory fires, government shutdowns, ice storms and more. These shocks affect the available supply of goods and services: too little energy, no chips for cars, tighter credit, not enough wheat. After the pandemic, we even saw supply challenges with labor. Typically, these shocks result in higher prices for a time and, in turn, a pullback in demand. Let me focus on the latest wave: the conflict in the Middle East. While it’s rocked the boat, it’s done so less than one might have imagined. We’ve all seen the price jump at the gas pump. I’m also hearing of fuel surcharges, rising airfares, freight and packaging costs, as well as availability issues with key inputs like fertilizer and aluminum. We can see these higher costs — especially energy — in the recent inflation data. Headline PCE jumped up to 3.5 percent year–over–year in March 2026. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, increased more modestly to 3.2 percent. The impact is much less noticeable in demand. Consumer spending is up, and not just due to ever more expensive gasoline. Non-gas spending growth has remained solid, too. Corporate profits are high. Artificial intelligence (AI) investment contin RICHMOND FED'S BARKIN/RALEIGH: 'WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED 'TO SEE ADDITIONAL PRESSURE ON JOBS OR INFLATION 'OR CONCEIVABLY BOTH' RICHMOND FED'S BARKIN/RALEIGH: 'WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED 'TO SEE ADDITIONAL PRESSURE ON JOBS OR INFLATION 'OR CONCEIVABLY BOTH' Fed's Barkin: The policy of looking through supply shocks has worked well in the past, but it is easy to see more challenging conditions and more frequent shocks in the future.