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- Submitted Oct 24, 2022|From blog.hycmlab.com
When Mario Draghi left the ECB, his rallying cry was that the ECB had done its work and it was the role of fiscal stimulus to help further. We live in a new era when it is not banks that primarily provide capital for growth, but governments. The ...
- Submitted Oct 19, 2022|From blog.hycmlab.com
The bond market is the truth. So goes the old saying. It is also very helpful. Bond traders are often looking ahead and signs of stress in markets often appear in the bond markets first. If bond and equity markets disagree, then the general rule of ...
- Submitted Oct 18, 2022|From blog.hycmlab.com
One ratio that precious metal traders must know about is the gold/silver ratio. This ratio shows the price of silver relative to gold. When the gold/silver ratio is high it means that silver is cheap relative to gold. So, how do you use the ...
- Submitted Oct 12, 2022|From blog.hycmlab.com
video The Bank of Japan is concerned about the continued weakness of the Yen as it increases costs for Japan’s domestic market. This concern ultimately led to an intervention in the Yen around the end of September which sent the USDJPY sharply ...
- Submitted Oct 11, 2022|From blog.hycmlab.com
What is the Fed Pivot? The ‘Fed Pivot’ is a micro-narrative that has developed recently in response to slowing US data. When US data prints negatively, then the prospect of a Fed Pivot is thought to increase. But what is the ‘pivot’ To pivot simply ...
- Submitted Oct 10, 2022|From blog.hycmlab.com|2 comments
When a major news announcement is about to be released financial markets typically consolidate. Ranges become smaller, volume dries up, and volatility falls. Why? Simply because few traders want to take financial risk prior to a major news event. ...
- Submitted Oct 7, 2022|From blog.hycmlab.com|1 comment
The RBNZ meeting was as expected this week. Rates were raised by 50bps to 3.50bps and the RBNZ maintained a robust view of the domestic economy. Reuters reported that the board even debated hiking by 75bps and was expressing concerns over a weaker ...
- Submitted Oct 3, 2022|From blog.hycmlab.com
The Russian/Ukraine crisis has been a terrible humanitarian crisis that has also created significant stress in energy markets. One of those markets that have seen significant gains over the last few months is natural gas. With Russia supplying ...
- Submitted Sep 29, 2022|From blog.hycmlab.com|1 comment
The latest mini-budget from the UK sent gilt markets into a sharp fall and the GBP had its own mini crash. Why should fiscal stimulus be seen as so negative for the UK? The bottom line was that investors feared that the huge stimulus package would ...
- Submitted Sep 28, 2022|From blog.hycmlab.com
In the near term, copper is set for more falls on global recessionary fears brought on by central banks aggressively hiking interest rates. However, some copper miners are warning that copper supply could be unable to meet future demands from green ...
- Submitted Sep 28, 2022|From blog.hycmlab.com
When the BoJ met in September speculation had been increasing regarding BoJ intervention. The weakness in the JPY had been impacting Japan’s import market pushing up consumer prices and higher energy prices earlier in the year had been making it ...
- Submitted Sep 27, 2022|From blog.hycmlab.com
In the near term, copper is set for more falls. Global recessionary fears brought on by central banks aggressively hiking interest rates have led to expectations of a sharp slowdown coming. The UK, Europe, and the US are all expected to head into a ...
- Submitted Sep 21, 2022|From blog.hycmlab.com|1 comment
The Bank of Japan has a problem. That problem is the weakness in the JPY. You can see from the index chart below that JPY weakness has been pronounced this year. The JPY being weak is great for Japan’s export economy. A weak domestic currency means ...
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HYCM to Discuss Investing in a High Inflation at Dubai Seminar
Started Sep 20, 2022|Commercial Content|0 repliesHYCM to Discuss Investing in a High Inflation Era at Dubai Seminar 20/09/2022 {image} HYCM, an ...
- Submitted Sep 19, 2022|From blog.hycmlab.com
Since the start of the month we have increasingly seen hopes of a Fed ‘soft landing’ gain traction as US stocks made another run higher. However, hopes of a soft landing were dashed by Tuesday’s US CPI print which came in firmer than expected and ...
- Submitted Sep 19, 2022|From blog.hycmlab.com
As we start the week there is a big challenge for gold. Last week’s hot CPI print led to increased expectations of a 100bps rate hike. Short Term Interest Rate Markets now see around an 85% chance of a 100bps hike. That sudden shift of expectations ...
- Submitted Sep 14, 2022|From blog.hycmlab.com
The Directional Movement Index is a great technical tool that helps you see the direction of the market and whether the market is making gains or losses. That’s easy, you say – what’s the point of that? Well, the Directional Movement Index (DMI) ...
- Submitted Sep 12, 2022|From blog.hycmlab.com
The US10Y-US02Y yield spread has been rising recently in possible signs that a ‘soft’ landing may be possible from the Fed. One thing to note here is that if risk can recover then copper prices could also lift. Look at the strong seasonal pattern ...
- Submitted Sep 7, 2022|From blog.hycmlab.com
The GBP has been pressured recently on USD strength, concerns over Brexit, stresses over a 2022 recession to last 15 months, huge energy price rises, and inflation projections from the BoE to go over 13%. So, the new plan from the incoming PM, Liz ...
- Submitted Sep 6, 2022|From blog.hycmlab.com
According to Thomas Bulkowski, one of the most profitable technical patterns is the high and tight flag, breaking higher. According to Bulkowski, when properly recognised, it can reach a target up to 90% of the time. So, here is what you need to ...