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Cliff Wachtel commented Feb 3, 2014agreed, China's bad news on Thursday Jan 23rd was final straw to start a short squeeze. Fed is mostly factored in - and now really should be barring a radical change in US growth trend
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Why More Downtrend Likely & What Drivers Will Decide
- Cliff Wachtel commented Feb 2, 2014
had that same thought as I was writing, but the pair DID finally crack support. In the end, will depend if the data packed calendar feeds risk appetite
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Why More Downtrend Likely & What Drivers Will Decide
- Cliff Wachtel commented Feb 2, 2014
I'm curious - what makes you so optimistic about the NFP? US GDP only in line. Granted, last month probably a weather related outlier (Canada monthly jobs also not great - same kind of cold front). thx
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Why More Downtrend Likely & What Drivers Will Decide
- Submitted Feb 2, 2014|From fxempire.com|20 comments
USD strengthens versus Euro, the technical picture and its underlying fundamentals suggest more downside –Technical: Break below 5 month old support of 1.35 zone, four week downtrend, downward technical momentum on daily and weekly charts, weekly ...
- Cliff Wachtel commented Jan 16, 2014
just to clarify - (seen some confusion from other readers) the reversal we're talking about is likely just a short term dip that's to be seen as a buying opportunity, NOT as a long term trend reversal btw do not apply reasoning in this post to the ...
What Could Reverse The USDJPY Uptrend & Offer New Long Entry Point?
- Cliff Wachtel commented Jan 16, 2014
EVEN THAT IS UNDER-ESTIMATE - the article doesn't even mention that EU banks allowed to carry ALL EU SOVEREIGN DEBT as risk -free yessss - Greek, Italy, Spain bonds, Tier 1 capital, nothing can go wrong, go wrong, go wrong.... Last I checked, French ...
'True' euro zone stress test could show $1 trillion hole in banks: study
- Submitted Jan 16, 2014|From fxempire.com|1 comment
The following is a partial summary of conclusions from our fxempire.com analysts’ meeting, during which the USDJPY’s recent weakness was a hot topic. Many of those who like to play long term trends with long holding periods have been waiting for a ...
- Cliff Wachtel commented Jan 13, 2014
btw, has anyone heard anything about whether ECB is going ahead with stress tests as planned, even though the new SRM deal does NOT provide any support for states finding themselves stuck with insolvent or undercapitalized banks?
Grand Delusion: GIIPS Bond Risk Up, But Yields Down
- Cliff Wachtel commented Jan 13, 2014
per SMP agreement ECB can buy bonds on secondary market, not directly from governments. that said, is there anything stopping the ECB from having bank buy the bonds for it, with an understanding that the ECB will buy them?
Grand Delusion: GIIPS Bond Risk Up, But Yields Down
- Submitted Jan 12, 2014|From fxempire.com|6 comments
Of all the lesson we learned from last week about the coming week, by far the most interesting of all was NOT from the FOMC minutes, other Fed events, nor from the normally top market moving US jobs reports that proved to be even more significant ...
- Cliff Wachtel commented Jan 6, 2014
don't see how they can conduct serious stress tests with that assumption. ECB claims it won't. Meanwhile banks have bought these bonds under that assumption. The joke may not be so funny
One chart shows EU’S own banks a fatal threat 2014
- Cliff Wachtel commented Jan 5, 2014
short answer: the money in public circulation doesn't change, but the banks' reserves do expand, but they aren't technically considered money- not quite. here's the longer answer: the central bank's balance sheet does expand, the only impact in the ...
Coming 2014 explosion: Eu money supply or eu itself?
- Cliff Wachtel commented Jan 5, 2014
If the cost starts to get high I suspect that's what they've got planned -they have made certain preparations
Coming 2014 explosion: Eu money supply or eu itself?
- Submitted Jan 5, 2014|From fxempire.com|4 comments
The following is Part 2 of the article by the same title, in which we summarize conclusions and possible ways to act on them. It’s a partial summary of conclusions from our weekly fxempire.com analysts’ meeting, in which we share thoughts and ...
- Cliff Wachtel commented Jan 5, 2014
curious to hear if anyone sees an alternative for the EU that I'm missing.
Coming 2014 explosion: Eu money supply or eu itself?
- Submitted Jan 4, 2014|From fxempire.com|8 comments
The following is a partial summary of conclusions from our weekly fxempire.com analysts’ meeting in which we share thoughts and conclusions about the weekly outlook for global equities, currencies, and commodity markets. Given the quiet holiday ...
- Cliff Wachtel commented Dec 31, 2013
oh, most importantly, picking a trading style that suits you (your risk tolerance, capital, 'good' hours available etc cuts way down on your stress levels. That means more energy, better mood, fewer mistakes
The 16 highest yield productivity tips for forex traders
- Cliff Wachtel commented Dec 31, 2013
a number of ways, though I didn't go into detail out of concern for brevity. For example, tracking your performance by measurable metrics virtually forces you to keep a trade journal and develop a trading plan. making trading decisions only when ...
The 16 highest yield productivity tips for forex traders
- Cliff Wachtel commented Dec 30, 2013
lol, best advice of the day, especially for the short term traders
The 16 highest yield productivity tips for forex traders