More than just trading from charts will be needed later this week if it's an out vote. The market is pretty sanguine at the moment, pricing in a very low probability of a leave vote (20%-25% chance), meaning any such outcome could cause all hell to ...

Cable Update (GBPUSD)

Good to see you, Chris! How are you keeping? Also hearing of a telephone poll conducted by ORB showing an 8 point lead for remain.

Cable Update (GBPUSD)

Latest poll being reported on ft.com, showing 53/47 in favour of remain. This poll was conducted by NatCen and wasn't due to be released until a couple of hours from now.

Cable Update (GBPUSD)

Another poll; this time from Opinium, which will be published in the Observer tomorrow, showing remain and leave both on 44%, with 10% undecided and the remaining 2% of those surveyed declining to say. Of those undecideds, there is a split 36/28 in ...

Cable Update (GBPUSD)

What has been pushed as the first poll released since the killing of Jo Cox has (surprisingly, in my view) shown a fall in support for remaining in the EU, with 52% voting to leave, 32% voting to remain and 16% undecided. This poll was conducted by ...

Cable Update (GBPUSD)

Hi Bones, That poll was from 15th June. It will be interesting to see the poll released this weekend, assuming people were asked after Jo Cox's death was announced, and whether there is a noticeable (any) shift to Remain.

Cable Update (GBPUSD)

This link is a useful tool for gauging market expectations on changes to monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. The prices of Fed Funds futures are used to calculate an implied probability of interest rate changes at the coming meetings. These ...

The Really Useless Thread

The below chart shows how IG Group are pricing the risk of Brexit. Following yesterday's news, the odds of the UK remaining within the EU have jumped to 67%. This is pretty much in line with other bookmakers offering odds on the outcome. ...

The Really Useless Thread

The below chart shows how IG Group are pricing the risk of Brexit. Following yesterday's news, the odds of the UK remaining within the EU have jumped to 67%. This is pretty much in line with bookmakers offering odds on the outcome. Interestingly, ...

Cable Update (GBPUSD)

And on an even happier note, England won.

Cable Update (GBPUSD)

The death of Jo Cox.

Cable Update (GBPUSD)

According to my searches, the next scheduled analysis on Brexit is due for release by Opinium over the weekend, in Sunday's Observer. It will be a very subdued day on the campaign front. So far, 1.4300 is attracting sellers, following the short ...

Cable Update (GBPUSD)

But then you need the complete and unwavering silence from this moron and those close to him, a controlled and compliant meda (which is not the case in the UK, certainl not with this Brexit campaign) and the long term silence of a trail of people ...

Cable Update (GBPUSD)

Threre is no way this tragedy was ochestrated by the governement to prevent Brexit. The leading populist paper supporting Brexit, The Sun, is focusing on the perpetrator being a crazed loner, rather than any link to the Brexit vote.

Cable Update (GBPUSD)

Probably better to show some respect by remaining silent, or at least wait some time before engaging in wild and unfounded conspiracy theories.

The Really Useless Thread

Interested to hear more about your theories on gap trading in FX. I get it the concept when applied to some instruments, but on FX - cable in particular - when it's a 24/5 market, and the bulk of the trading in cable is traded OTC during the London ...

Cable Update (GBPUSD)

Very true.

Cable Update (GBPUSD)

Here's one just for you, Bones Guess who said this in 2013?????? If we left the EU, we would end this sterile debate, and we would have to recognise that most of our problems are not caused by Bwussels, but by chronic British short-termism, ...

Cable Update (GBPUSD)

That won't happen. MPs voted in favour (544 for/53 against) of the upcoming vote in European Union Referendum Act, the results of which is advicsory in the same way as was the Scottish referendum. However, it would be political suicide to ignore an ...

Cable Update (GBPUSD)

Let's see how well that works out if Trump gets elected, taking insular, beggar-thy-neighbour, anti-intellectualism politics to the extreme.

The Really Useless Thread