Above 6% is getting more likely. Wages are still showing pressure to the upside while the market projecting a ~5% terminal rate.

Fed seen hiking policy rate above 5% as hiring surges

Personal anecdotes aren't exactly the best way to describe the overall state of the entire country. In my case, to counter your argument, construction is booming and house prices are still increasing at where I live. So, which one of us is correct? ...

The Employment Situation -- January 2023

I wouldn't use results of a survey which is based on a small sample within the entire population to make an accurate prediction.

The Employment Situation -- January 2023

All of you guys doubting the 500k figure need to provide proof. Gut feelings are worthless.

The Employment Situation -- January 2023

Bad news for stock market because it means the market will admit Fed will be more aggressive with its interest rate hikes.

The Employment Situation -- January 2023

I guess he's scared of the money flowing into crypto instead of the stock market.

Charlie Munger says the U.S. should follow in China’s footsteps and ban cryptocurrencies

Now we know why that woman rebuffed his advances.

She friend-zoned him. He’s suing her for $2.3 million over it.

I agree with you in principle but I feel you're not getting to the crux of what I'm saying, or shall I say, my view on the true nature of the market. That's ok. It may be that I didn't make myself clear enough. I admit we have our own approach ...

ECB's President Lagarde: Don't doubt about our determination to achieve 2% inflation

Well, I wasn't saying there are no patterns. I'm talking about a single pattern we can consistently capitalize on for the rest of our trading careers. Such pattern does not exist. Even the best closely-guarded trading secrets are not infallible ...

ECB's President Lagarde: Don't doubt about our determination to achieve 2% inflation

Trading based on fundamental news or technical analysis never works in the long run. Don't take my word for it but the market is purely probabilistic. In other words, its price action is completely random. It may look like it has "patterns" you can ...

ECB's President Lagarde: Don't doubt about our determination to achieve 2% inflation

The market is looking at its own set of data while the Fed is looking at its own.

Fed’s Powell: According To Current Outlook, Will Not Be Appropriate For Rate Cuts This Year

But reading between Powell's lines, he is leaving some room to become more hawkish as more data comes in. Besides, the Fed won't necessarily need to be hawkish for the US dollar to regain its dominance. A global recession will just move money into ...

FOMC meeting recap: Powell not hawkish enough, traders price in 50bps of cuts by EOY

Fed will surprise hike by 50 bps and continue to stress inflation is not over by a long shot. USD will reclaim its earlier dominance.

Powell likely to stress Fed’s inflation fight far from over

I'm saying I'm betting Fed will hike at least 50 Bps and still come out extremely hawkish in the statement.

Fed’s Wall Street Clash Sets Stage for Powell’s Hawkish Message

No, it didn't. Only some of the Fed Committee members said that. That's not representative of the Fed as a whole.

Fed’s Wall Street Clash Sets Stage for Powell’s Hawkish Message

I'm betting the Fed will hike by at least 50 bps, more than what the market is currently predicting.

Fed’s Wall Street Clash Sets Stage for Powell’s Hawkish Message

Now this news is just going to embolden the Fed to aggressively hike. USD is way oversold.

Gross Domestic Product, Fourth Quarter and Year 2022 (Advance Estimate)