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MarvOli replied Feb 4, 2022I agree. I took a short at 1.14740, quarter profit at 1.14380, and moved SL to break even. Just in case they want to retest, I'll take a bigger bite

EURUSD only
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MarvOli replied Feb 4, 2022I think it's more reactionary. However, I think they DO have the data before it posts, and they hit the buy/sell button seconds after the data posts. Already have their finger on the trigger. But since they ARE in the know, BONDS always tell the ...
EURUSD only
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MarvOli replied Feb 4, 2022This looks like it could be in the 1.1376 range. That is my number. If so, I agree

EURUSD only
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MarvOli replied Feb 4, 2022US 10year bonds just dropped BELOW $127. And the rate jumped UP to 1.896%. I didn't expect NFP to be so HIGH. Very good for USD. Given all data posted all week, I expected something much less, and maybe even a negative #. I believe since most ...
EURUSD only
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MarvOli replied Feb 3, 2022Bahaha. Alright, point me to an expert, and I'll show you when he/she was wrong at some point. I'm a swing trader, not a scalper. Just trying to pick up some key levels. 95.535 was a very key level on DXY. US 10yr rates moving HIGHER now at 1.838% ...
EURUSD only
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MarvOli replied Feb 3, 2022Be careful on the longs folks. US 10 year rates still increasing, gold not looking strong either.
EURUSD only
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MarvOli replied Feb 3, 2022Let's go ahead and ADD lower-than-expected unemployment claims in the US. More USD tailwinds. Now, if ISM comes in at 60+, USD to the moon! LOL, and JK. Looking for DXY to 97.7.
EURUSD only
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MarvOli replied Feb 3, 2022#truth Furthermore, with no rate increase in Europe, EURUSD headed south. I just added to my short position at 1.12935 after the release. The market was nice enough to drop initially, then recover some to get me in at a better price. Right after the ...
EURUSD only
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MarvOli replied Feb 2, 2022Nice call here. I took a small short here and simply moved stop loss to break even. Could be the turnaround, but I wasn't willing to risk much.
EURUSD only
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MarvOli replied Feb 2, 2022A bit of a wild ride! Something to take note of. US 10yr rates are not really moving. In fact, they are still below $128, my key barometer (1.788%, as of writing it dropped to 1.779%). And dxy selling off with strong moves. Something smelling fishy ...
EURUSD only
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MarvOli replied Feb 1, 20221.4 BILLION Euro option expiring after US cash open. Strike price 1.1300 (This could be a barrier) 200 MA sitting at 1.13054 Possible reversal? Maybe. Just wait for some volume to come in around that area. DXY still needs to hit 97.775 Good luck all ...
EURUSD only
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MarvOli replied Jan 27, 2022I could be wrong. I agree this move down is NOT over, I think we get to 1.08 sometime this year, and it could be in March. However, its too risky to keep trying to sell this IMO. Ill look for other trades on other pairs while I wait for this thing ...
EURUSD only
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MarvOli replied Jan 27, 2022Entry and Exit Strat for VPA traders. This is what I was looking for after the Fed meeting. image
EURUSD only
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MarvOli replied Jan 27, 2022What a move! But I think the drop stops soon. I won't be shorting this anymore. There are NO big options expiring today on this pair, or any other pair to be honest. Much of the reason the market is going WiLd. But tomorrow, $1.1billion one EURUSD @ ...
EURUSD only
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MarvOli replied Jan 25, 2022I think we are essentially saying the same thing here. Let me clarify: -I believe the FOMC will release their rates @ <.25 again @2pm NY time. So, nothing changes with rates, this will cause DXY to drop to and I think the FLOOR on dxy will be ...
EURUSD only
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MarvOli replied Jan 25, 2022I think so. All the rhetoric is that US might raise rates at the meeting tomorrow. The US indices were trying to show the Feds what will happen if they do raise rates with the massive sell-off. But there is a near-zero chance of that. Once they ...
EURUSD only
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MarvOli replied Jan 25, 2022Very nice pick up here. 2 fairly significant volume candles to confirm this move. Additionally, there is a $1.1billion option that expires at 1.13 this morning. I wouldnt be surprised to see a straight shot to that point very soon. Good Call! Cheers
EURUSD only
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MarvOli replied Jan 20, 2022Well, I was totally wrong today about EURUSD. Sometimes I hate trading this pair. It's so bittersweet
. I did cut my losses on half my position, I think this pair COULD drop to 1.125 in early morning trading Friday. Another 1.1 billion Euro option ...EURUSD only
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MarvOli replied Jan 20, 2022Poor US Unemployment Claims data this morning might cause EURUSD to outpace my initial assessment. I thought we might see 95.106 on dxy or 1.137 today, and I still hold that opinion. But with much higher US unemployment claims, I wouldn't be ...
EURUSD only
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MarvOli replied Jan 19, 2022I tried going back and looking at my numbers before posting. I did find some, but not all. I think Ill start putting all my number in BOLD before posting moving forward.
EURUSD only