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- 167 Results (155 Replies, 12 Comments)
- phiya replied Apr 2, 2014
The babbling I was doing is a example of something he would say. Hard to miss the message
EURUSD
- phiya replied Apr 2, 2014
I'm surprised how is gatorlina not spitting levels on this 10 pip range yet. Now we have this level at 93.4/94.3 then another one at 92.1/92.2 that bulls wants it all depends on the 88.2 that got hit twice, if hit 3 times we will see 87.4 I'm sure ...
EURUSD
- phiya replied Apr 2, 2014
Too predictable.. bad the spike was just 8 pips instead of 30 or something. Maybe longs are heavy
EURUSD
- phiya replied Apr 1, 2014
I'm going to try to add shorts on some headlines like * ECB SOURCES SAY NO CONSESUS TO ACT ON ECB Shit like that you know..
EURUSD
- phiya replied Apr 1, 2014
Yeah I'm going to join you too. The risk:reward is too good to let it go. My main case is euro trading close to 1.39 after ECB is done, but im going to do the opposite direction, if board long liquidation happens it will be really nice.
EURUSD
- phiya replied Apr 1, 2014
Why are you shorting? Risk:Reward is big taken the market expectations. Are you shorting because of it?
EURUSD
- phiya replied Mar 31, 2014
What about EONIA fixing at 0.69% ? It was last at 0.195% I think its end-of-quarter so thats a excuse
EURUSD
- phiya replied Mar 31, 2014
man just imagine if he does introduce some new easing measures. You will be like "FU DRAGHI! TODAY THAT I DIDN'T BET YOU DELIVER"
EURUSD
- phiya replied Mar 31, 2014
Yes I agree. ECB would have to violate their triggers that set up in January for it to act and that would be a credibility issue. That is too much to risk on energy driven low inflation. Although its possible he will counter this on explicit threats ...
EURUSD
- phiya replied Mar 31, 2014
One thing ECB has in favor to act now, is the surprise element, he does have a history to act when surprise element reaches a high level as it creates more impact, and gives a two-way flow on directional bets. That is always a risk.
EURUSD
- phiya replied Mar 31, 2014
I've been trying to figure out if and how ECB would likely to act. Because rate cuts reached their end of line, I think any ECB action would have to be something non-standart. Right from there its not likely. Then you have money markets that behaved ...
EURUSD
- phiya replied Mar 31, 2014
yeah.. I closed my shorts, I think the strategy is clear for Q2, S&P makes a new all time high, I short it. This bankster suicides are probably related to 0% return on the S&P500 on Q1
EURUSD
- phiya replied Mar 31, 2014
To me it tells me that low inflation from a domestic point of view means that your purchasing power is going higher, it also means that from a non-domestic point of view if your currency doesnt show strenght then it would make sense buying X on ...
EURUSD
- phiya replied Mar 31, 2014
It's very interesting. Euro does bottoms on low inflation readings / ECB rate cuts and all sort of low inflation related data. This pretty much tells me all I need to know Edit: Inflows that are driving euro strenght? yes it must be that net 3bn ...
EURUSD
- phiya replied Mar 31, 2014
Were you fast enough to close on profit? you know like most of the people and algo news reading who sold on that data was not able to close in profit
EURUSD
- phiya replied Mar 31, 2014
My question is who the hell keeps selling on low inflation data? haven't they learned their lesson like 8 times already and counting?
EURUSD
- phiya commented Mar 29, 2014
In my opinion I think its obvious they know something is at play. I would not ignore their conviction, it has value
Citi Confirmed Its EUR/USD 'Day Of Reckoning' Call With A L/T Short Trade