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frx_trader commented Nov 12, 2015What? Not high enough?
US dollar slumps on soft stocks, quiet Yellen
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frx_trader commented Nov 12, 2015I remember when EU was > 1.4. Nobody worries. It could move to 1.6. Now see what happens. Well, Draghi was deliberately put EZ at risk and vowed to defend Euro at any cost. Any cost, even very costly. Now, Mr. Y. is doing the same with US economy. ...
US dollar slumps on soft stocks, quiet Yellen
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frx_trader commented Nov 10, 2015It is more apparent if you look at the Forecast data from May 2014 to this day. The forecast for November 2015 was 181K, which was the lowest since May 2014. How could they set the bar so low? One good reason was, they guessed that US couldn't have ...
U.S. Stocks Fall as Treasuries Drop With Emerging Assets on Fed
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frx_trader commented Nov 10, 2015Absolutely correct. The only thing I can think of why US will raise IR is because Mr. Y. has promised. Otherwise, there is no other good reason. The current job market data of 271 K new jobs is not a good reason. In December 2014, 321K news jobs was ...
U.S. Stocks Fall as Treasuries Drop With Emerging Assets on Fed
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frx_trader commented Nov 9, 2015Agree. I don't understand. When Treasuries drop, institutions buy into them? Usually, when the price drops, it's because ppl sell them. So, Gold drops, Stocks market drops, Treasuries drop. Where do they keep the money? One answer, maybe, money is ...
U.S. Stocks Fall as Treasuries Drop With Emerging Assets on Fed
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frx_trader commented Nov 9, 2015Think about it. Ppl will spend more with less money. How? The bank and credit purchases.
Fed's Evans: Wants FOMC to signal gradual path of hikes post-liftoff
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frx_trader commented Nov 9, 2015This is something new. Raising interest rate in order to increase inflation to 2 %. What will happen if there will be deflation after rate hike?
U.S. Stocks Fall as Treasuries Drop With Emerging Assets on Fed
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frx_trader commented Nov 7, 2015I know how it feels when nobody shares your sentiment. The best thing is to keep it to yourself.
Wall St. banks zone in on December for Fed liftoff: Reuters poll
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frx_trader commented Nov 6, 2015"Does today’s good job report mean that the Fed will raise rates next month? Probably yes. Does it mean that the Fed should raise rates? Definitely not." Agree. Mr. Y. wants to claim his credibility more than anything. 2% inflation is easily ...
Hike They Shouldn’t
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frx_trader commented Nov 6, 2015Mr. Y. knows that rate hike won't hurt big companies. If you don't know yet, learn from the crisis in 2008. Where big companies were bailed out. And FED has an ultimate weapon for the fire namely QE.
The US Employment Situation - October 2015
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frx_trader commented Nov 6, 2015When USD gets stronger, most ppl and companies will price in USD. So, there will be little advantage for other countries, because they mostly hold USD. If they don't hold USD, they will regret it. These companies will project their earnings in USD. ...
The US Employment Situation - October 2015
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frx_trader commented Nov 6, 2015It's good to differ sometimes.
The US Employment Situation - October 2015
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frx_trader commented Nov 6, 2015It's priced in 80-90%. So there will be no surprise for rate hike in Dec. The only surprise will be no hike. So, the bet is reversed from here. There is little room for further US strength. Any bad data from China will only deter the chance of rate ...
The US Employment Situation - October 2015
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frx_trader commented Nov 5, 2015In case you forget German phobia of inflation. Mr. M. said there was nothing to gain from weakening currency to gain advantage. Draghi defense of Euro at all costs. Don't they give you any clue? Now, what are the sensible policies? Keep weakening ...
Citi: Janet Yellen Has Violated "One of the Cardinal Rules" of Economists
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frx_trader commented Nov 5, 2015These clowns like to wait and didn't take the chance, yet they want attention. When they got attention, they turned their back. So what exactly do these clowns want? More Attention.
Feeling ignored, Fed jolts markets to prime them for lift-off
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frx_trader commented Nov 5, 2015seem US need another QE rather than rate hike. Ooooops, they have a promise.
Applications for Jobless Benefits in U.S. Rise to Five-Week High
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frx_trader commented Nov 4, 2015So, Mr. Y. is betting for this last chance. Rise it or leave it. Well, we could as well go to sleep. Mr. Y. had a chance in September. He hesitated, now the bet is on.
Fed's Yellen sees possible December rate rise, gradual hiking path
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frx_trader commented Nov 4, 2015Don't forget China still hold lots of US treasure. Once they dump 10% of it, then we'll see what will happen. Oh, no. they can't do that. Yuan is not a reserve currency yet. And China exports will be much effected.
Fed’s Brainard: Says US Labour Mkt Improvement In ‘Extremely Steady’
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frx_trader commented Nov 4, 2015The clowns need to apologize for not hiking the rate this year. Mr. Y. will twist here and there.
Fed hike "very dependent" on incoming data -Brainard