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      Managing risk in macro trading
      Submitted Dec 20, 2022      |From blog.hycmlab.com

      One of the weaknesses in macro trading is that you have a clear bias for a currency pair, but how do you manage risk properly? For example, one central bank is on a rate-hiking cycle and another one is on a rate-cutting cycle. In this case, the ...

      Shimmering silver
      Submitted Dec 6, 2022      |From blog.hycmlab.com

      outlook for the Federal Reserve is mixed. On one hand, the US economy could be heading towards a recession next year. The November FOMC minutes stated that it was the ‘base case’. Slowing business activity, the cost of living, falling export demand, ...

      BoC heading for a 25bps hike?
      Submitted Dec 5, 2022      |From blog.hycmlab.com

      Next week the Bank of Canada meets and it will be an interesting meeting to see how confident the BoC is surrounding a potential slowdown coming for Canadian economic activity. Recalling October’s meeting, there was a 50/50 split over whether the ...

      Glittering gold
      Submitted Dec 5, 2022      |From blog.hycmlab.com

      Gold has long been touted as an inflation hedge, but now really could be the time for gold to shine. If it does, then there are some very strong seasonals ahead for the precious metal. Over the last 10 years, Gold has gained 9 times out of 10 ...

      Kiwi bias for December strength
      Submitted Dec 1, 2022      |From blog.hycmlab.com

      At the last RBNZ meeting, the bank took a decidedly hawkish tone. The RBNZ recognises that annual inflation remains too high at 7.2% and it hiked by 75bps to 4.25%. This 75 bps was expected, but the surprise was that the RBNZ now sees itself needing ...

      Platinum value?
      Submitted Nov 29, 2022      |From blog.hycmlab.com

      video The reasons for USD strength have been well documented this year as the Fed took a hawkish policy stance to control surging US inflation, and safe haven bids also boosted the USD. However, recently there has been a big rise in USD short ...

      Could the Fed set silver soaring into 2023?
      Submitted Nov 28, 2022      |From blog.hycmlab.com

      Last week the FOMC minutes showed that the Fed now saw a US recession for 2023 as pretty much a ‘base case’. This was a surprise revelation and allowed markets to sell the USD in the expectation that the Fed will be less aggressive in hiking rates ...

      All eyes on US inflation this week
      Submitted Nov 28, 2022      |From blog.hycmlab.com

      It’s all about inflation this week, US inflation specifically. In order to see the significance of Thursday’s PCE print we need to see the context of the US inflation story. So, this article will give a broad skeleton on that context and show what ...

      Is now the right time to get on a copper boom?
      Submitted Nov 23, 2022      |From blog.hycmlab.com

      video The world is making a sharp pivot to ‘green energy’. One commodity that is crucial to that is copper. Copper is both relatively easy to shape and a great conductor. As electric vehicles, solar farms, wind farms and other renewable energies ...

      Is it Finally Time to Give Gold Another Look?
      Submitted Nov 22, 2022      |From fxempire.com

      It has been a difficult year for investors across the board, with all but the dollar and energy bulls seriously struggling in this higher rate and inflationary environment. Something investors often forget is the importance of defensive trades, and ...

      The Fed & USD seasonal weakness
      Submitted Nov 22, 2022      |From blog.hycmlab.com|1 comment

      The reasons for USD strength have been well documented this year as the Fed took a hawkish policy stance to control surging US inflation, and safe haven bids also boosted the USD. However, last week saw a big rise in USD short positions via the CFTC ...

      Can Chinese support lift copper prices?
      Submitted Nov 17, 2022      |From blog.hycmlab.com

      China’s outlook has been buoyed over recent days by a series of positive stories. The reduction of some Covid restrictions by the National Health Commission, rumours of China planning its exit from Covid Zero, a 16-point property plan to reduce the ...

      EURUSD bias into year-end
      Submitted Nov 11, 2022      |From blog.hycmlab.com

      video For the majority of the year, the Dollar Index has been gaining higher and higher. This, in turn, has been weighing on major currencies like the AUD, the GBP, the JPY, and the NZD. For example, the USD has strengthened by over 29% against the ...

      Copper’s supply issue
      Submitted Oct 25, 2022      |From blog.hycmlab.com

      A recent article by Bloomberg has flagged a problem with the copper market. It comes from a storage facility in Shanghai’s free trade zone where the Yangtze River meets the Pacific. These warehouses contained copper stockpiles and boomed on a ...

      Interesting Bitcoin seasonal pattern ahead
      Submitted Oct 25, 2022      |From blog.hycmlab.com

      According to Chainalsys, the blockchain analysis firm, the largest region for cryptocurrency adoption is Western Europe. The all-time high for cryptocurrency interest was in the second quarter of Q2 of 2021. However, although adoption has reduced in ...