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Cliff Wachtel commented Mar 23, 2014Just putting out the facts as I see 'em Sorry, reality not always clear Also, my crystal ball in the shop for repairs and polishing Tho quantifying bullish bearish in terms of %age nice idea
EURUSD Weekly Outlook March 24-8 2014: Calm Before The Storm?
- Submitted Mar 22, 2014|From fxempire.com|19 comments
FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental & technical picture, this week’s market drivers that could change it- the bullish, the bearish and likely EURUSD direction. The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly ...
- Cliff Wachtel commented Mar 16, 2014
Author note: Omitted this bit from the end: Within the coming week the EURUSD is still likely to attempt a test toward 1.3950 - 1.4000, barring a strong escalation in Crimea or other event that sparks a flight to safety, with odds higher of a close ...
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Resilient, Technically Bullish, However…
- Submitted Mar 15, 2014|From fxempire.com|4 comments
Crimea Succession Vote: How Much Damage To Follow? The big questions aren’t about the likely referendum result (in favor of joining Russia) or whether sanction threats will follow, but rather: Will Russia take more territory by force (inviting local ...
- Cliff Wachtel commented Mar 15, 2014
Thx for our daily "Buffet States The Near-Obvious" post of the day. Nothing like insightful content. Can't blame editors, though, looks like people will actually read this stuff.
Buffett: It would surprise me if stock prices drop 50%
- Submitted Mar 9, 2014|From fxempire.com|1 comment
Overall Risk Appetite Steady-To-Higher: Bullish For The EURUSD Given that overall risk appetite, as reflected in the major stock indexes (especially for the US and Europe) is a primary EURUSD driver, we start by noting that our sample of weekly US ...
- Cliff Wachtel commented Mar 2, 2014
Question to readers: in last week's EURUSD post here url I mentioned that Austria was considering forcing private lenders to take losses on Hypo bank. Has anyone heard anything further on that? Did quick search didn't find any updates
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Short Term Up, Longer Term Down & Why
- Cliff Wachtel commented Mar 2, 2014
I just want to add the following to the section: So What Could Reverse The EURUSD Uptrend In The Near Term? Neither the Fed nor ECB is expected to shock us with new policy shifts, so we don't see any sudden USD rate advantage. The Ukraine situation ...
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Short Term Up, Longer Term Down & Why
- Submitted Mar 2, 2014|From fxempire.com|6 comments
FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental & technical picture, this week’s market drivers that could change it, and what you must never forget about the EU and EUR The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.comweekly ...
- Cliff Wachtel commented Feb 16, 2014
They asked the EU's top court to clarify some things, also said German court can't rule on what's legal for EU but can darn well decide what's legal for Germany and was quite clear that the OMT as it stands is illegal in Germany. NB the Bundesbank ...
Key Drivers For Coming Week & Longer Term
- Cliff Wachtel commented Feb 16, 2014
if you're risk averse, need to see if EURUSD can get over 1.37 resistance as a decisive move higher could bring a short squeeze that pushes it higher still. If so, wait for that move to finish, and assuming no huge bullish EUR fundamentals (haven't ...
Key Drivers For Coming Week & Longer Term
- Cliff Wachtel commented Feb 16, 2014
doubt you'll have to wait that long - unless SRM fixed bank stress tests will have to be made into another PR exercise with low standards and that may spark concern, though higher likelihood of trouble is in May if, as expected, EU Parliament ...
Key Drivers For Coming Week & Longer Term
- Submitted Feb 15, 2014|From fxempire.com|6 comments
EURUSD bullish and bearish technical, fundamental drivers for both short and longer term, plus new signs of the big long term bearish threat to the pair – The Europeans themselves, plus a real-time trader positioning sample & links to details on key ...
- Cliff Wachtel commented Feb 10, 2014
oh, for details see Ft.com: url and related articles referenced there in short German court said we want clarification and probably German law will prohibit German participation in OMT funding so, the big sovereign bond backstop is not only ...
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Likely Direction, Must-Watch Drivers, Price Points
- Cliff Wachtel commented Feb 10, 2014
CORRECTION; Upon further review, the sources on which I relied for the ruling of the German constitutional court - Reuters here: url were incorrect. The German court did not simply say the ruling was out of its jurisdiction and wash its hands of ...
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Likely Direction, Must-Watch Drivers, Price Points
- Cliff Wachtel commented Feb 10, 2014
Suspect EUR will go first - Japan has free use of printing press without interference from Germany, and just one group with common interests, language culture, EU still moves slowly due to its 'run by committee' like fragmented decision making ...
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Likely Direction, Must-Watch Drivers, Price Points
- Cliff Wachtel commented Feb 10, 2014
UPDATE: good post on Ft.com on new EU bank regulator: Eurozone’s new super-regulator prepares to be unpopular [ url ] hope to include bit on that in coming post today as update to brewing EU banking mess
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Likely Direction, Must-Watch Drivers, Price Points
- Submitted Feb 9, 2014|From fxempire.com|9 comments
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Neutral/Bullish. See sections on the technical picture and fundamental drivers behind it for analysis behind this outlook, price zones and fundamentals to monitor that could change or further reinforce this outlook, real-time ...
- Cliff Wachtel commented Feb 3, 2014
ECB now struggling to sell its huge GIIPS bonds inventory, no buyers, 5 unsterilized sales in past two months - show limits of LTRO. Also shows,as I wrote here url that in the end EU will print & monetize. Not so bad while still deflationary ...
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Why More Downtrend Likely & What Drivers Will Decide