First, have you read Mind over Markets? or VBPT? From the looks of your charts I get the impression you're mixing the two concepts. Cisco recommends reading MOM as a prerequisite to apply AMVT concepts. MP daily profiles is a day local concept. ...

Auction Market Value Theory & Analytics

Cont’d……Predictions from Charts, A Critique Serendipity, Being in the Right Place at the Right Time This report was just being completed when on, August 4 the emini-SP fell out of bed. Table 5. Report Aug 03, 11: UU and NQ Balances Before the ...

Auction Market Value Theory & Analytics

Cont’d……Predictions from Charts, A Critique The U.S. Debt Limit Market Drop July 21 - August 2 2011 Over the eight days of final negotiations over the changing of the US debt limit, the Dow dropped steadily from 12,784.41 to 11,866.62. This is a ...

Auction Market Value Theory & Analytics

Cont’d……Predictions from Charts, A Critique Macro and Micro TimeFrames So what is the problem? Can we be comparing apples to oranges? The general trend of a market as read from a chart normally gives a longer term picture.The chart covers several ...

Auction Market Value Theory & Analytics

Cont’d……Predictions from Charts, A Critique How Can You Tell if the Prognosticators are Right or Not? The data in the above two tables is the sort that allows us to evaluate the implicit expectation that "The markets have turned down (and you should ...

Auction Market Value Theory & Analytics

Cont’d……Predictions from Charts, A Critique Finding Markets to Trade and How They Performed Theory recognizes two primary market conditions: pause and run. Runs have many forms, but pause has only one major form, a cluster. (Note: This Daily ...

Auction Market Value Theory & Analytics

Cont’d……Predictions from Charts, A Critique Limitations Analysis of complex systems like Auction Markets depends upon finding the "measureables". You could not measure the individual opinions of all traders in a market (even if you could, it would ...

Auction Market Value Theory & Analytics

video

What kind of music you hear while you trade?

Cont’d……Predictions from Charts, A Critique Our approach today is to use the scientifically valid methods of observation, experimentation and verification. We want any conclusions reached to be supported by actual data. The path we will follow is ...

Auction Market Value Theory & Analytics

Predictions from Charts, A Critique Tested with Real Data Chat at IOAMT: August 25, 2011 Donald L. Jones CISCO Futures August 25, 2011 Analysis of auction markets is complicated because of the complexity of the markets themselves. There are many ...

Auction Market Value Theory & Analytics

I received an email from IBFX about a week ago....................

Trading Without a StopLoss

I find it hilarious because it hits so close to home!

Trading Without a StopLoss

From my perspective "Market Prediction" is defined as an "expected return calculated from history".

Do you believe this market is random?

Sounds like you were dealing with way too much info to manage. I'ts good to hear you're getting it worked out.

Auction Market Value Theory & Analytics

Great post! I always enjoy you're "2 cents"..............

Trading Without a StopLoss

Are we looking at the same pair?

Auction Market Value Theory & Analytics

Welcome, I appreciate the post. First, its the data being used. What you're describing by using "1 min data", you're calculating ticks (tick volume) not TPO's. What I think you're tracking a tick distribution, rather than TPO distribution. A TPO ...

Auction Market Value Theory & Analytics

A Practice is a proposed analysis method. If permitted by market theory, it is an approved or permitted practice, and may safely be used in market analysis and trading. A non-permitted practice is outside the bounds of theory and is not recommended ...

Is random really random?

You must have missed a previous post of mine url Where I stated that from an Auction Market Theory perspective, Markets are self organizing and driven by feedback. The market adapts to information from trader feedback. Not Random. AMVT is not a ...

Is random really random?