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Exodus replied May 3, 2013So now we have to watch carefully. The short term trend down from B to C has been broken at C where price has pushed above the channel containing the PA during that move. If PA holds above 97 then I expect a resumption of the up-move towards 100. If ...
USD/JPY Discussion
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Exodus commented May 3, 2013It is Draghi's job to talk-down the Euro. At the moment the ECB is not allowed to print money.
3 Reasons For Being long EUR/USD Around ECB Rate Decision - Barclays
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Exodus commented May 2, 2013@ Squeeze: I believe you are correct about the learning process taking 4 years, or thereabouts. However a huge amount of money is unnecessary. What is required is persistence, the small amount necessary to restart when you have trashed your $1000 ...
FOMC Statement
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Exodus commented May 2, 2013....I nearly said 'no cut'. If anything the market seems happy about it. <dives over to the stocks>
3 Reasons For Being long EUR/USD Around ECB Rate Decision - Barclays
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Exodus commented May 2, 2013Whilst you may understand what you have written I can tell you that it is not self-explanatory - except for the part about waiting for the rate number print, which I agree with. Current level is ~3160 so explain please the "If short, looking at ...
3 Reasons For Being long EUR/USD Around ECB Rate Decision - Barclays
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Exodus commented May 2, 2013Nah! He didn't say 'poop' or 'matey'.
3 Reasons For Being long EUR/USD Around ECB Rate Decision - Barclays
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Exodus commented May 2, 2013Would love to know how much they make for a one-millisecond improvement in transmission time.
High Frequency Trading Arms Race Beams Into the Future
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Exodus replied May 2, 2013NFP tomorrow, my feeling is that the printed number will undershoot the expected number. Result of that should be short-term USD strength and resultant lift on UJ. ADP claimant reports are indicating fewer jobs created recently.
USD/JPY Discussion
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Exodus commented May 2, 2013Hello Jay, it has been a while since our last exchange, I hope you are well etc. Professional traders are always forecasting, otherwise they would never open a position. The difference between traders and those whose job it is to forecast is that a ...
Broadbent: Forecast errors
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Exodus commented May 1, 2013
Wassup? Spreadbutter not biting anymore? I think your needle is stuck, get yourself a pat on the back.Broadbent: Forecast errors
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Exodus commented May 1, 2013This is the typical blindness of forecasters. Maybe they get it wrong because they are youngsters. It was the first government-induced housing crash that I remember, and I particularly remember the part where Lawson said "...so I shall give 6 months ...
Broadbent: Forecast errors
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Exodus commented May 1, 2013...or he will be as soon as he gets hold of Alisher Usmanov

Russia’s 20 Biggest Billionaires Keep Riches From Putin
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Exodus commented May 1, 2013This week I do not have any EJ longs. This is evidenced by the 100 pips I didn't make thus far. EJ is in a rising channel, and since I'm not trading it prolly will hit 130
...but watch for the channel break.FOMC Statement
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Exodus replied May 1, 2013FOMC +35 minutes Well that was the dampest squib I have ever seen for the FOMC and rate statement. Strangely it has improved my open UJ longs - they needed it. Closed my Nzd hedge for a handful of pips in profit. ...cue statement about how there ...
(binned per thread starter's request) The big... IF
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Exodus replied May 1, 2013I have just opened my speculative long in preparation for the FOMC statement. A modest position in NzdUsd, with a stop of course.....
(binned per thread starter's request) The big... IF
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Exodus commented Apr 30, 201325 years is long enough. I wish them luck! Along with a weakening Yen

Kuroda's calculus - How the Bank of Japan staged its big bang
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Exodus replied Apr 30, 2013Well, I squeaked a few more pips to take the beer fund to +16.8% on the month. Pretty satisfying result, and up nearly 33% on the year so far. I have a couple of UJ longs open, unfortunately today was the turn of EJ..... I am also carrying an AudJpy ...
(binned per thread starter's request) The big... IF