Don't we all trade our beliefs. The main problem with new traders coming to FF(not talking about you Moty just in general) is the lack of cohesive teaching. Even babypips struggles with a simplistic view of what the Forex "Market" really is. I like ...

EURUSD only

15m pin going short from here. Tight stop. Target bottom of 4h channel. image

Tug-of-War Journal

Watching USDCHF for possible down move to bottom of Channel then Push higher to new highs. Reasoning: image image image

Tug-of-War Journal

Another non-random question If 95% or greater of all forex activity originates from less than twenty large corporate entities how can the market be made up of strings of 50/50 random events?

Tug-of-War Journal

Non Random Questions Why should most movements of price consist of three runs and three pauses? Why should long pins matter for the turning of price at a level. image

Tug-of-War Journal

It all seemed random until I realized I could easily get a 90% loss rate... Death of a thousand cuts and all that cliche speak.

Tug-of-War Journal

The hope of bears is most often salmon.

EURUSD only

Thanks, man! Although you could not determine causation for the volatility swings you nicely confirmed that they do happen. Those 200pip days cluster around certain times and are almost non-existent on others. This is proving that we are in a time ...

EURUSD only

If you look back even farther at Volatility and Daily range you will see that they are cyclical. I haven't checked but those cycles could correlate to the boom-bust cycle. We are now in the longest(US) growth cycle according to the FED and other ...

EURUSD only

Sadly, housing crises happen. I don't think anything like that will happen today, but if they decide not to raise the rate and then have a heated FOMC meeting you could see 120+. I'm not saying it is likely, only that it is possible. I mean who saw ...

EURUSD only

Just don't forget ADR is an average. So the extremes of that average can be quite alarming. Think 200+ pips.

EURUSD only

To me .1450 is likely. This would trigger a few stops and buy orders at the same time. Maybe to .1472 at news release. Lots more stops to trigger there and major pressure on any shorts trying to 'just hold on'. Either of these two get crossed then ...

EURUSD only

Morning all, or evening if you are East of NY. Looking to short today. Rate decision and FOMC meeting will probably produce serious volatility(weakening exuberance and stocks struggling). US economy still doing better than Europe so continued USD ...

EURUSD only

How I am seeing price and its cycles in time. image image image image

Tug-of-War Journal

I had some fun drawing this up today. Makes me think .2425 is next level to watch. image

EURUSD only

I had a difficult time seeing the completed second cycle this morning, so I missed out on the 'W' at the bottom for my long entry. I had a failed short at around .2360 but made it up later on a long(.2370) on the return to .2360. I am looking for ...

EURUSD only

What I am seeing for the week ahead. On the 4H TF looks like we have completed two cycles. There were no new lows on the second cycle suggesting to me higher prices in the near term. Perhaps a visit to .2600 to clear stops before the move to lower ...

EURUSD only

Cycle examples: image image image image

Tug-of-War Journal

It all seems eerily similar to me....... image image

EURUSD only

Thanks for sharing a little more of your strategy. Puts some of your earlier calls into perspective. While I watched you making money and knew your calls would probably work out I didn't know if they were shorter term or longer, and now knowing some ...

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