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newyear498 replied Jan 5, 2011the idea was like ha-pattern said "proprioception" as humans we can sense up and down.. and traders may treat the market as if it has gravity since our bodies are under gravitational elements.. thus the markets would have artificial gravity
Thinking Outside the Box!?!
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newyear498 replied Jan 5, 2011I will definitely test this from my own observations during a trend (that I judged by the eye) about 70% of candles would be similar.. orcourse the stats you requested would be a completely different result since its based on previous day and ...
Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)
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newyear498 replied Jan 5, 2011Gravity — totally random to throw in this thread.. but was just thinking about how gravity probably affects the psychology of the market.. our human sense of gravity could explain a lot of buying and selling conditions when seeing price go ...
Thinking Outside the Box!?!
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newyear498 replied Jan 5, 2011Stat #5 — Regarding stat #3.. of the 60% of times.. price makes new high returns to open, chance it.. Returns to last days high again = 68.26% price makes new low returns to open, chance it.. Returns to last days low again = 66.58%
Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)
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newyear498 replied Jan 5, 2011its a good point and one I thought about as well you may specify what years you want me to test.. I have no problem testing less data.. or maybe I will begin showing results for last 10 years and also last 2 years? what would you like to see?
Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)
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newyear498 replied Jan 5, 2011(example as high reverse for short) the way I tested was.. if there was an inside bar.. and the next day broke say the high of the inside bar.. and the retrace before that was less than 50 pips.. the probability that it would break the high + 50 ...
Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)
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newyear498 replied Jan 5, 2011This is results from last 10 years.. you may be disappointed
result = 47.62% the problem with this test as well is that 10 years of data is only about 120 cases of this scenario since inside bars are rare and then even rarer setups for your ...Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)
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newyear498 replied Jan 4, 2011Well I think the TF matters since a 1M can't really produce 50 pips like a daily could I am testing it on daily.. I am curious to know tho how you figured 50 pips.. why not 25 or 100 and on the 1 hour what would be your x amount of pips I suppose 50 ...
Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)
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newyear498 replied Jan 4, 2011Hi Stockey.. these are good questions but I'll need more specific requirements.. some questions I would have to ask you is.. what is a london breakout.. I mean.. how long do I track the breakout after london opens? what pip level above and below the ...
Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)
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newyear498 replied Jan 4, 2011Thank you for your kind remarks.. yes I figured doing statistics would be a good way to actually give something more then a 75% chance of being bullshit back to FF (like some crappy system I make or something) lol Plus.. with everyones suggestions I ...
Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)
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newyear498 replied Jan 4, 2011Hey, I need to confirm what your saying before I test it.. I'm not sure if you mean 2nd bar, as the bar before or after the inside bar.. I believe your saying that.. we get an inside bar and you want to know if the next bar after the inside bar will ...
Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)
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newyear498 replied Jan 4, 2011So far I have run the studies on EUR/USD only but for GPD/USD here are the stats for bullet 3 with same test Price Returns to Open after making new High = 56.14% Price Returns to Open after making new Low = 57.06% As you can see the stats are ...
Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)
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newyear498 replied Jan 4, 2011No one else care about statistical / probability advantages in there trading but me? lol
Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)
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newyear498 replied Jan 4, 2011new data.. about 60% chance price will return to the open at least one time after it makes a new high or low
Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)
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newyear498 replied Jan 3, 2011Added another probability so far the numbers would suggest.. if you look at Bulletin 2 consider day0 is current day.. day1 is last day on day0 you would have a 60% chance of hitting a TP 1 pip above day1 high.. (when day1 high > day2 high & day1 ...
Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)
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Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)
Started Jan 3, 2011|Trading Discussion|117 replies
I am going to start considering requests for statistics and probabilities I will not take all ...
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newyear498 replied Jan 3, 2011Here Yead, now you can have 2 distances signal orange appears when price >= distance1 & price < distance2 signal red appears if price > distance 2 so with default settings orange appears when candle >= 10 pips red appears candle > 14 pips and alert ...
Ok, Lets do it - Developing a Highly Profitable System
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newyear498 replied Jan 3, 2011like I said.. the EA is doing 5 percent as an example.. with 1 percent trading max drawdown is 10%ish when you hit the 10 consecutive loses in a row.. I did 5 percent per trade to push the test to the limit... I'm sure you wouldn't be risking 5% of ...
Consolidation Buyer, System & EA
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Consolidation Buyer, System & EA
Started Jan 2, 2011|Trading Systems|9 replies
Consolidation Buying System, Heres a system that has some high potential so first let me lay ...
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newyear498 replied Jan 2, 2011i did post two versions.. one was the arrows.. and another puts a little bar in a separate window or leaves it blank when no signal.. the separate windows does look better to my preference either way as long as you get your signal
I did on one ...Ok, Lets do it - Developing a Highly Profitable System