Probably if I understood your question better provide me with an example of what you want to know an example of the condition winning and condition failing sounds like a good concept to explore tho

Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)

thanks OQ for your insights on the side note I PM you before related to some other matter.. I hope you will check your messages Thanks!

Thinking Outside the Box!?!

I made a new note by the way.. I am also opening the thread to any idea.. it doesn't need to be "outside the box" just some interesting thought or perspective.. I'm sick of reading "this is not outside the box..." I'm just interested in seeing some ...

Thinking Outside the Box!?!

Markets are random and/or just a different view of things — This kinda gives some insight into a few things which include concepts if the markets are really random among a few other insightful things.. If your driving.. and the road is going ...

Thinking Outside the Box!?!

Thanks Turveyd, its like a battle to identify the most important lagging data lol but I would agree off first hand that momentum is a good insight.. figuring the rate of change to project future movement seems like a logical approach and one I am ...

Thinking Outside the Box!?!

Everything is lagging — I seem to have a tendency to stir up this convo again and again lol but I was just thinking how people complain that MA are lagging but in theory all the data is lagging.. I mean.. how can you have a buy or a sell order ...

Thinking Outside the Box!?!

Ok, well I removed it from the main post then, Thanks for correcting me.. again I think I'm a quant in training here lol its a good thing I posted that then because I would have never learned Thank you!

Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)

Not sure why you disagree? Please explain, thanks and what you meant by SD? I just put SD to hint that is what my SD would refer to in my data below because I was lazy and writing fast.. but guess that backfired since look at all the characters I ...

Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)

Volatility / Standard Distribution — Probabilities of Volatility / Standard Distribution Price remains within these standard distributions (SD) x% of the time... (in relation to the mean) 1 SD = 68% 2 SD = 95% 3 SD = 99.7% (for example if you ...

Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)

Yes I actually saw your post earlier and was extremely excited to see the results it was beautiful the resemblance to the market from RANDOM DATA!, I think many are afraid the markets might be random in the way we refer to them.. as I slowly am new ...

Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)

Next Study — Ok, I like the idea of researching the Gap's so you want to see how often gap gets closed from over the weekend correct? another thing I am thinking about is "psychology numbers" since I never really traded off them what should I ...

Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)

Markets are not Random.. our concepts are the same — Heres my 2 cents nothing is "random" because that would mean the market ranged randomly.. there is a purpose to ranging so its not random.. an agreement on a price level or a mix of ...

Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)

I made an error when I enter the last data.. the new york averages were wrong.. they have been corrected.. see main post for correct averages thanks

Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)

the feelings are mutual.. without all of you the wheels would stop grinding and new paths would not be explored

Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)

OQ, Its the points you bring up that force me for better or worse but I chose to do it since I believe its for better.. to trade by algorithmic models so I can avoid the emotions and follow things to a tee

Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)

2am may prime things.. but the actual condition of open to close is a shitty indicator IMO, I prefer higher highs and higher lows .. if 2am makes higher high and higher low then 1am then we know 2am was an up move. Well every probability represents ...

Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)

London and Newyork — (10 years) London's direction today will be London's direction tomorrow = 47.73% NewYork's direction today will be NewYork's direction tomorrow = 47.82%

Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)

I think this type of setup has been dreamed up by every trader and no one has yet to make money off it The research I have made from past and current has left me to conclude that previous candles direction does not give any insight into future ...

Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)

Rate of Trend — also perhaps it gives you some insight into the amount of money flowing through london.. you can in a way possibly judge londons trend.. if london is making an average of 9 pips directional movement per half hour then you would ...

Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)

I did find it very interesting that the sessions do have very similar pip averages (according to last 2 years) when london breaks upwards it averages 54 pips in up movement and on the days london beaks down it averages 56 pips down movement I was ...

Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)