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EmeraldEyes replied Oct 16, 2013I'd be surprised if it broke through today, given a US debt deal is in the works. Vertical line is 10am new york
How FX options can affect spot price heading in to expiration
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EmeraldEyes replied Oct 15, 2013I've been using Darkstar's order flow info from url which is great bc its free. Theres a pay version that has more info, without delay though. Just saw from that link that there's a large option on Aud/Usd above price, so we know that there is ...
How FX options can affect spot price heading in to expiration
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EmeraldEyes replied Oct 15, 2013The American people own the most government debt. The US Dollar wont fall any time soon. Id expect it to lose its global reserve currency status first.
USA Debt deadline discussion
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EmeraldEyes replied Oct 15, 2013Silver is in pre-1965 US coins or silver dollars, gold is in American Eagle, Canadian maple leaf 1oz or 1oz from pamp suisse(sp). My figuring is that the US coins that contain real metal will still be of value. Using it though in a post-dollar ...
USA Debt deadline discussion
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EmeraldEyes replied Oct 14, 2013There are many ways to trade a large option heading in to NY cut. You could spot signs of buying/selling to trade back to the strike if price gets pushed against market sentiment. Ie; poor news out of euro, sell the rallies above price back to ...
How FX options can affect spot price heading in to expiration
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EmeraldEyes replied Oct 14, 2013In my situation, Ive been slowly buying physical precious metals to hedge against a failed fiat currency.
USA Debt deadline discussion
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EmeraldEyes replied Oct 14, 2013American's (& the Fed) thru intra-government own A LOT of it. The US won't default.. not yet. This is a budgetary impass, not a debate on what country won't recieve their interest payment. If they do default, then there's a Fed $45bil Taper for ya!
USA Debt deadline discussion
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EmeraldEyes replied Oct 12, 2013Hey OFT'ers, I had the chance to witness a $1+ billion option head in to the NY cut the other day, strike of 1.3500. Options this size can make some strong order flow as seen in the chart below. The order flow generated could be from banks hedging ...
Order Flow Trading
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EmeraldEyes replied Oct 11, 2013Heya numb! This is about plain vanilla options which are American-style, meaning they can be exercised any time (if they're in the money) up to the time of their expiration (NY 10am is the most popular) These aren't exotics or barrier options, thats ...
How FX options can affect spot price heading in to expiration
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EmeraldEyes replied Oct 10, 2013Being informed where and why trading is happening is one of the advantages of knowing Forex market structure. Pair this information with known buyers/sellers, support/resistance... or trade price back to strike if data release in another currency ...
How FX options can affect spot price heading in to expiration
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How FX options can affect spot price heading in to expiration
Started Oct 10, 2013|Trading Discussion|94 replies
If spot price of a security is close enough to a large vanilla option heading in to the NY cut ...
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EmeraldEyes replied Sep 30, 2013Dealers, hedge funds, market contacts. I'm sure you can find order flow info by searching the net and making friends in the market.

EURUSD
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EmeraldEyes replied Sep 30, 2013Asian offers 1.3515-.3520 Option for NY cut @ 1.35, worth $500mil Scattered bids 1.3470-.3475 Soo ya.. expect some ranging today.
EURUSD
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EmeraldEyes replied Sep 30, 2013This 1/2 yard option @ 1.3500 is gunna keep price there today.
EURUSD
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EmeraldEyes replied Sep 26, 2013aand that's what a 1 yard option at 99.0 looks like heading in to the NY cut!
USD/JPY Discussion
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EmeraldEyes replied Sep 26, 2013Scary facts, but the Fed is no different than other central banks. Just that the US Dollar is the reserve currency of the world. The Bank of Japan is pumping money at a rate that the world hasn't seen before and w/ staggering debt:GDP ratio. Very ...
10 Things Every American Should Know About The Federal Reserve
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EmeraldEyes replied Sep 22, 2013That's what it looks like when liquidity is removed before a major data release. Spread widens and it looks like someone is buying a lot when really there are no willing sellers at that price anymore so the market moves up. There were 3 major ...
GBP/USD, strange behaviour 3 minutes before data release