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Bones replied Jul 20, 2025Fed funds at 4.33% and less inflation at 2.7% is a 1.63% real rate. The real rate on a ten-year is less than 2% right now. Any large move down takes us to negative real rates on the world reserve for no reason. The dollar would tank, and stocks ...
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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Bones replied Jul 20, 2025Well, it's been going on for months, and the DXY is down 13% YTD It's ramped up recently, but there seems to be a standoff. The Nasdaq went up 40% from April to now
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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Bones replied Jul 19, 2025not on the quarterly He doesn't have to get rid of him, only undermine; he could name the next Fed chair, and the market would listen to him, it would be shadow fed Trumps already moving markets in anticipation
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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Bones replied Jul 19, 2025Usually, I'd say it cannot recover, but in this case, it can; the monthly break-up is also a Quarterly break-up, and the uptrend line location is unclear. It's consolidating at support on D1; last week hasn't brought anything new. Trump is ...
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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Bones replied Jul 18, 2025there's no way the uk or the us should be cutting, yet trump is forcing this issue, the fed never lowered its rate 300 point in one go, ever,
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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Bones replied Jul 17, 2025im just saying look at the size of the first candle of the month Forgediron pointed to as the same set up
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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Bones replied Jul 17, 2025time is defiantly the bears enemy, its not broke down in 2 days
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Bones replied Jul 17, 2025Yes, they do, but it's still unusual. Also, it has failed to break both ends Any w1 reversal will do That's a 120 pip inverted hammer on the daily, yet to be confirmed
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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Bones replied Jul 17, 2025Breaking both ends of the monthly is a very good point to bear in mind.
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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Bones commented Jul 17, 2025I don't think so. There is a plan if it goes over 5%. It's not pretty for the majority, and that's why I don't like it. There's no coming back from this path; you don't just make the world an open global economy again overnight. You don't reverse ...
Trump to Powell: Great numbers just out. Lower the rate!
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Bones commented Jul 17, 2025Yes, but it's not the same situation. Now you're at 120. You're spending well over a trillion on interest, and the bond markets are saying they need to go higher. This is why people speak with a sense of urgency, and why Trump is taking a Hail Mary ...
Trump to Powell: Great numbers just out. Lower the rate!
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Bones commented Jul 17, 2025More to the point, it's up to the pro-melt-up crowd to explain how you break the simple mathematics of the budget deficit & record-high debt already. There's no fixing it later explanation that holds water. If you got a 9% deficit and 3% growth, ...
Trump to Powell: Great numbers just out. Lower the rate!