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Dax offered a nice daily signal (2) but I wouldn't sell the farm for it given that we had a huge weekly green candle (1) last week that will take time to digest. I have a small short in play, but nothing I will be stubborn about and I guess the ...

Strat's PASR Long Term, Stress Free Trading

With regards to USD, we remain on a bullish trend and, using DXY, 104-105 should be a very solid support which is at a confluence of both a horizontal strong support and the Daily 200 moving average. Not only is this relevant to me from a PASR ...

Strat's PASR Long Term, Stress Free Trading

Short Dax is likely to be my core position for 2023 as it encapsulates the end of the last years of utter stupidity, wokism and irresponsible MMT and QE gibberish. I will look to position around 14700-15000 depending how price action evolves in the ...

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Hello everyone. Just a thought as I am looking at weekly charts to prepare for the week. Dax is only down 12% year to date and, while we have potentially bullish inflows for Q4 due to seasonality and hopium of central bank pivots, I will pay great ...

Strat's PASR Long Term, Stress Free Trading

Actually, bonds and stocks rally in unison most of the time, except at turning points. I will try and write something about that in more details, but, in the meantime, here is a chart of the US 10 year Bond. The bottom line is that bonds will ...

Strat's PASR Long Term, Stress Free Trading

Hi Strat & everyone May I suggest you pay attention to long duration bonds at this point of the cycle? As we are approaching the end of the rate hiking cycle, 20+ year bonds will probably outperform other assets I will post some charts on TLT and UB ...

Strat's PASR Long Term, Stress Free Trading

Life happened Strat, the best and the worst. Ironically, the best cannot happen unless the worse happens first. I am sure we will discuss it live at some point in the future. Have a great weekend

Strat's PASR Long Term, Stress Free Trading

1) NFPs +261K headline right on top of 20yr avg of growy months. 2) HH survey noted -328K decline in total emplmt 3) Construction saw +1K job gains; this is going sharply negative soon Last throes on the job market Soon, some bad news that will be ...

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We are getting closer to start buying on long duration bonds. TLT is probably a good place to start. Unless the Fed has to pivot faster than expected, sub-90 is a good place to accumulate (that would correspond to around 5% interest rate which I ...

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The ROC of YoY CPI has started to turn negative. I expect this to be cheered by the market when the Nov CPI comes out next week, 2 days after midterms

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Powell has been crystal clear today. Maybe he is more a Paul Volcker than an Arthur Burns after all

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Hello Strat & Gang, I was in the neighbourhood and came to say hi. This is where it all started for me 4 years ago and I realize the patience and generosity Strat demonstrated and keeps demonstrating from what I see. I hope everybody is well and ...

Strat's PASR Long Term, Stress Free Trading

Dear Strat, So great to hear from you, very happy that you and the Big Boss are well despite Covid. I won't be an active participant here, my trading and my life took me elsewhere but you were the starting point that helped me start making sense of ...

Strat's PASR Long Term, Stress Free Trading

I used to have the same issue (I have many others but not this one anymore). Look at the shadow but look at what BOTH components of the shadow tell you Hope this helps

Strat's PASR Long Term, Stress Free Trading

About that sofa...

Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

Thanks, I won't need to

Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

No stop

Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

Long @ 26703, holding it for 30,000

Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow