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      Bank of Canada - Financial Stability Report
      Submitted May 28, 2026      |From bankofcanada.ca

      Canada’s financial system has continued to function well despite US tariffs and trade uncertainty. But a more turbulent global environment poses risks to financial stability, particularly if several vulnerabilities crystalize at the same time. The Canadian financial system continues to be resilient. Households and businesses remain in stable financial condition, and banks have strengthened their capacity to absorb shocks. However, vulnerabilities have increased in some parts of the system. Valuations of many financial assets have continued to rise, increasing the risk of a sudden correction. At the same time, global sovereign debt issuance is growing, and hedge funds have increasingly absorbed this debt in recent years. Individually, these vulnerabilities are manageable. But with increased economic and geopolitical risks, it is more likely a new shock or a combination of shocks could cause multiple vulnerabilities to crystalize at once. If this were to happen, these vulnerabilities could interact and reinforce each other. In the extreme, a cascading series of events could cause a sharp loss of investor confidence. This could lead to liquidity hoarding or rapid asset sales, putting pressure on core funding markets. Stress could then spread across the financial system and the broader economy. Just in | BoC Financial Stability Report Highlights Elevated Risks Yet Affirms Resilience of Canadian Financial System. BOC SAYS NEW SHOCKS MAY EXPOSE SEVERAL VULNERABILITIES AT ONCE. A SERIES OF EVENTS COULD LEAD TO A SIGNIFICANT DROP IN INVESTOR CONFIDENCE AND AFFECT MAIN FUNDING MARKETS, ACCORDING TO BOC.

      US Monthly New Residential Sales, April 2026
      Submitted May 28, 2026      |From census.gov

      With this release, seasonally adjusted estimates of housing units sold, housing units for sale, and the months' supply of new housing have been revised back to January 2021. All revised estimates are available on our website. The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development jointly announced the following new residential sales statistics for April 2026. Sales of new single-family houses in April 2026 were at a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 622,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 6.2 percent (±12.8 percent)* below the March 2026 rate of 663,000, and is 11.3 percent (±11.5 percent)* below the April 2025 rate of 701,000. Biggest monthly jump in median new home sales price since 2019: up 8% from $391.1K in March to $422.5K in April pic.twitter.com/96u22k05mm

      Fed's Williams: Near Term, Inflation Around 4% And Core Inflation Around 3%
      Submitted May 28, 2026      |From @LiveSquawk|2 comments

      Fed's Williams: Middle East War Impacts Consumer Spending Amid Higher Energy Costs - Hit To Inflation Likely To Peak In Next Few Months - Tariff Impact Should Peak In Next Few Months - Near Term, Inflation Around 4% And Core Inflation Around 3% Fed's Williams: Anchoring inflation expectations is critical. Fed's Williams: Monetary policy needs to be data dependent. WILLIAMS: FED MUST BE CLEAR IT IS GETTING INFLATION TO 2% WILLIAMS: PATH FOR MONETARY POLICY DEPENDS ON DATA, OUTLOOK AND RISKS

      Williams: Productivity Growth and the Challenge of Real-Time Policymaking
      Submitted May 28, 2026      |From newyorkfed.org|1 comment

      Thank you for the opportunity to speak today. I’d like to discuss one of the most fundamental challenges we face as economic policymakers: understanding structural economic change as it happens. There are many types of structural change that create such a challenge, including changes in the famous star variables like the natural rates of unemployment and interest. But today, I’ll focus on shifts in the trend rate of productivity growth. I’ll boil this topic down to a simple two-part question: how does the economy respond to a shift in the rate of productivity growth, and what does it mean for monetary policy? It may seem like a basic question that should have been long settled by now. But the further you delve into trying to answer it, the more nuanced it becomes. This question is especially timely today because of all the attention on artificial intelligence and its potential to spur a productivity boom. But this is not our first productivity growth rodeo. Thankfully, history provides important lessons for us to learn from. Think back to the 1970s, when the United States experienced a pronounced productivity slowdown following a quarter century of remarkable postwar growth. This was followed by an acceleration beginning in the mid-1990s, which itself reversed in the mid-2000s. These episodes weren’t minor statistical curiosities—they fundamentally reshaped the macroeconomic landscape. The productivity slowdown of the 1970s contributed to stagflation. And the productivity boom of the late 1990s and early 2000s was a contributing factor to that decade’s economic prosperity with low in Fed's Williams does not comment on near-term monetary policy outlook.

      US unemployment insurance weekly claims
      Submitted May 28, 2026      |From dol.gov

      In the week ending May 23, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 215,000, an increase of 5,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 209,000 to 210,000. The 4-week ...

      US GDP (Second Estimate), 1st Quarter 2026
      Submitted May 28, 2026      |From bea.gov|10 comments

      Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.6 percent in the first quarter of 2026 (January, February, and March), according to the second estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter ...

      US Personal Income and Outlays, April 2026
      Submitted May 28, 2026      |From bea.gov|53 comments

      Personal income decreased less than $0.1 billion (less than 0.1 percent at a monthly rate) in April, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal ...

      Cipollone: Money in the digital age
      Submitted May 28, 2026      |From ecb.europa.eu

      For centuries, central banks have issued money and safeguarded its value. That mandate has not changed. What has changed is the technological environment around it. Consumers increasingly pay digitally, financial institutions explore new ...

      Account of the monetary policy meeting of the Governing Council of the ECB held in Frankfurt...
      Submitted May 28, 2026      |From ecb.europa.eu

      Ms Schnabel started her presentation by noting that since the Governing Council's previous monetary policy meeting on 18-19 March 2026, movements in euro area financial markets had continued to be driven by developments in the Middle East and their impact on energy prices. Amid elevated volatility, markets continued to expect the oil price shock to be persistent. Although upside risks had moderated, oil was priced significantly higher, over an extended period of time, than it had been before the start of the war in the Middle East. As a result, markets continued to price in a notable and sustained inflationary impact. Inflation fixings had increased further for both 2026 and 2027. This suggested that investors anticipated some indirect or second-round effects extending beyond the first year of the conflict, before inflation was expected to return to the target of 2% in 2028. At the same time, markets continued to expect the economy to be relatively resilient. Prices of risk assets, including equities, as well as sovereign and corporate bond spreads, and the exchange rate of the euro had moved back towards the levels observed prior to the conflict. Earnings expectations had been revised up since the beginning of the war, which was consistent with the view that the impact on economic growth would be short-lived. At the same time, there had been negative surprises in macroeconomic data for the euro area. Therefore, buoyant risk asset markets, which were hovering near all-time highs, might indicate some investor complacency given the size and persistence of the energy price shock. With inflation still perceived as the dominant risk, investors were pricing in cumulative policy rate hikes by the ECB of 73 basis points in 2026. Overall, financial conditions had eased since the Governing Council’s previous monetary policy meeting, driven mainly by strong risk asset markets, but they remained somewhat tighter than before the war. ECB ACCOUNTS: UPSIDE RISKS TO INFLATION AND DOWNSIDE RISKS TO GROWTH HAD INTENSIFIED. ECB ACCOUNTS: WEAKNESS COULD PERSIST WELL BEYOND THE END OF THE CONFLICT Just in | ECB Reports: Consumer side shows no signs of second-round effects as wage negotiations are yet to occur. ECB REPORT SHOWS IT'S STILL TOO EARLY TO SEE SECOND-ROUND EFFECTS ON CONSUMERS, AS WAGE NEGOTIATIONS ARE REQUIRED. ECB MEMBERS MIGHT HAVE SUPPORTED HIGHER RATES.

      Crypto Plunges as Yields Drain Market Liquidity
      Submitted May 28, 2026      |From puprime.com

      The cryptocurrency market experienced a sharp downturn in the recent session, with Bitcoin (BTC) sliding below the $74,500 mark amid heightened volatility and cascading liquidations. This decline reflects broader risk-off sentiment across global ...