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Bones replied Oct 18, 2024bond market don't believe in my opinion and next 2 CPI is up , green data keeps printing, then CPI is a lie
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Bones replied Oct 18, 2024cpi is a fake 0% MoM number, it sets the government costs rise next year at under 2%
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Bones replied Oct 17, 2024It's obviously not 3 crows, anyone who says that is probably a nutty Kamala supporter, a carless candle reader. You could say thats evening star at the top, maybe, but no real confirm.
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Bones replied Oct 17, 2024call me a cynic but I don't believe that inflation number yesterday, remember they make it up, literally
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Bones replied Oct 15, 2024Ive had a look at the UK and were on the same path, especially with a labour government. Revenue is flat, when spending is out going of control. Spending isn't unlimited in any country. The budget this month should be ugly but Reeves is looking for ...
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Bones commented Oct 15, 2024but debt is 20-30% more, to GDP
Labour market overview, UK: October 2024
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Bones replied Oct 14, 2024It's in the 1st posted chart. Tax revenues haven't changed since 1965 at least, there's a limit to how much tax can be raised since people react. Revenue has been no more than 20% of GDP.
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Bones replied Oct 14, 2024It is people that leave the workforce V people that enter that you have to worry about
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Bones replied Oct 14, 2024lol, there's a $3 trillion overspend when they only generate 4.5T
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Bones replied Oct 14, 2024I looked up CBO projections and outlays are going to 28%, something has to give, or a miracle could happen, that would do it.
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Bones replied Oct 14, 2024yes, cause if you borrow growth it will lead to tears. Any fool can borrow money and create fake jobs. The $ is a ticking time bomb.
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Bones replied Oct 14, 2024It's probably down to the fact it's safe haven and all the havoc left in Democrats wake. You won't find that chart since I just made it

Democrats do have a mildly stronger currency by the end of the term but it's not based on a lot. ...Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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Bones replied Oct 14, 2024The way you drew it makes it look like that. BTW, you missed and entire president out which says a lot. I would have thought Democrats overspend and like a war off the top of my head, if you're saying they make the best economy I couldn't disagree ...
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Bones replied Oct 14, 2024The idea that a currency measure presidents is ludicrous, at least in the Uk we worked out all parties are as bad. We know our 2 parties are a uni-party con. I can tell you right now Truss was rejected by the establishment, interest rates and the ...
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Bones replied Oct 14, 2024Changing tax doesn't alter receipts much, if you take the path the US is on, it won't matter who's in charge. The UK is behind the US but we have wolf in sleeps clothing in charge. Their busy changing the rules about debt as we speak.
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Bones replied Oct 12, 2024if it bounced off that TL and went up further than the high it would go a lot higher, if anything, not going there could be an easier bearish read I'm getting my info from the monthly
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Bones replied Oct 12, 2024yes, im going one step further, that tl wouldn't hold the way its laid out, because of what higher time frames would look like. I give that set up a 20% probability. Personally I think bias is very good, misplaced bias like Zebi has is very bad.
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