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Alorente replied Sep 29, 2011I would forget about intervention. If it happens, great, but it is unpredictable. It should not be a factor in your investment decision.
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Sep 29, 2011I choose to see it in a different way. The Dollar Index is DOWN today .37% and yet USD/JPY is UP .35% Itīss normal that the Euroīs appreciation today is larger than the dollarīs because of the steep fall it has suffered during the past weeks.
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Sep 29, 2011This is what we need to happen to turn the US around and get King Dollar back on the table: url
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Sep 29, 2011At what level do you get back in? Iīm still holding, by the way.
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Sep 29, 2011Saucer shape? — In the Daily chart attached, we can see the perfect saucer shape that UJ is creating in the past couple of months. Perfectly symmetrical saucer shapes are rare, but until shown otherwise we should continue to watch this ...
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Sep 28, 2011I have identified the channel we are in, including the spine or mid trendline. This will help us identify supprot and resistance levels on the way up. If this is the channel, the 200SMA (Blue line) will move to the bottom wall and then turn up and ...
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Sep 28, 2011With today included, the last 5 days have all had a higher low than the day before while the spread between the high and the low keeps contracting. Another factor pointing at a breakout soon. Before the end of this week we should break 77.
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Sep 28, 2011I know what you mean about the stress created getting in and out and the fear of missing the train. I struggled with that many times years ago. What I found to be a good solution is to hold 1/2 of your position no matter what and trade aggresively ...
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Sep 28, 2011Another point in the longsī favor is the Inverted Head and Shoulders formation that has developed in the H4 chart in the past few days. I marked the neckline in red (around 77). Yesterday we bounced off the neckline, but as long as the trendline ...
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Sep 28, 2011Back to the trading range. Still, a new trendline is established on the candles. It is important that it is not broken. I expect another attack on the 200 SMA (Blue line) and this time with a clear break. But... we must break 77 to consider this ...
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Sep 27, 2011We are fighting with the 200 SMA now (H4 chart). We are a bit above it but itīs not final yet. If we hold above the 200, we should be on our way to 80 in the next few days.
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Sep 27, 2011Yes. It means the spring is getting tighter when price action is compressed pregressively. I believe today is the breakout. Uhh... I think Iīve said that before ...
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Sep 27, 2011The Japanese public are betting the Yen will drop: url
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Sep 26, 2011I agree with every word you said. The state of affairs in the United States IS deplorable. However, almost every point that you made can and will be reversed with a stroke of the pen. Obamacare will be repealed. New regulations will be repealed. ...
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Sep 26, 2011As the chart shows, we are still in good shape. The RSI trendline is still unbroken and moving higher and we continue to get all sorts of bullish divergence green arrows on the THV. I continue to hold my long position looking for an explosive rally ...
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Sep 23, 2011Also, donīt forget that in the 1970īs the US had the Carter mailaise. the Iran hostages, 10% inflation, 16% interest rates, long lines at gasoline stations because of the oil embargo, the worse economy since the depression. Everyone said then that ...
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Sep 23, 2011I lived in the US for 38 years. I live in Spain now, my country of origin. I still have a company in the US with 48 employees. It is true that the education level is not what it used to be, but the new immigrants are as hungry and ambitious as the ...
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Sep 23, 2011Itīs simple. A currencyīs price simply reflects the policies of the politicians running the country of that currency. The US is getting ready for a Tsunami type change. The new wave of politicians in Washington abhorrs debt and sees a radical change ...
USD/JPY Discussion