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Alorente replied Oct 19, 2011I agree with you totally. I canīt believe it when the "experts" say that we are entering a period of stagflation. When I learned economics, the definition of inflation was: "Too much money chasing too few goods". We now live in a world of too many ...
EurAnalysis
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Alorente replied Oct 19, 2011It is not a matter of Merkel wanting to do it or not. The German voters will not stand for it and politically it is a dead issue. Merkel knows it, Sarkozy knows it also but he is facing an earlier election so he has to play the part that it is ...
EurAnalysis
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Alorente replied Oct 19, 2011As Pip Trader just said, watch out with long trades at this time. Technically and fundamentally it is dangerous to be long at this time.
EurAnalysis
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Alorente replied Oct 19, 2011I use THV4 also and I see it quite differently. The Slow Trix is just now turning down on the H4. We will cross the 0 Trix line and the Slow Trix. We are headed down as long as the RSI remains under the trendline drawn on the attached chart (Bottom ...
EurAnalysis
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Alorente replied Oct 19, 2011I did read page 1 and I am impressed. Thanks for your courteous reception. I am sending you a PM in the hour.
EurAnalysis
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Alorente replied Oct 19, 2011All H4 Head & Shoulders patterns start lookimg like a flag on the Daily. If it breaks the top it was a bullish flag, if it breaks the neckline on the H4, it wasnīt. Thatīs TA for you, an eternal Yes, but on the other hand...
EurAnalysis
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Alorente replied Oct 19, 2011I just peeked at this thread today and I like what I see. I am a TA guy with 25 years of experience and I find the other threads all over the place. I like the focus here. Anyway, I believe we are going down and we have seen the top for EURUSD on ...
EurAnalysis
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Alorente replied Oct 19, 2011EURUSD has been moving in tandem with the S&P for months now. As we look at the S&P chart, we see similar patterns as with the EUR. Price is at the top of the channel, but divergences are showing on the Trix and RSI. I expect the S&P to drop from ...
EURUSD
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Alorente replied Oct 19, 2011Stop loss at 1.3920, above the head. It is always about technicals. The price bar contains all events within it. Allowing for volatility, of course.
EURUSD
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Alorente replied Oct 19, 2011Weīll party together then. You are right. Betting is the wrong word. I am strategically positioned also. It sounds better. Thanks. Also, the clear divergences on both the Trix and RSI supports the view of an imminent fall. A clear break higher of ...
EURUSD
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Alorente replied Oct 19, 2011I believe this is the top. the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the 8/30 to 10/4 drop at 1.3844 is being respected nicely while forming the right shoulder of a classic Head & Shoulders pattern. The predicted minimum drop if and when we break the ...
EURUSD
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Alorente replied Oct 6, 2011My Theory of USD/JPY — Today is the 10th day in a row where the low of the day is higher than the low of the day before. As you know, several weeks ago I discovered a channel for UJ that seemed pretty significant to me. You can see on the ...
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Oct 5, 2011Very good Freiburg. Very succint and to the point. Good job!
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Oct 5, 2011As you can see, UJ is still drawing a pretty cup formation. Now comes the hard part. Climbing that steep wall in a short period of time. Will it do it. Iīm still holding on for the ride.
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Oct 5, 2011Here is todayīs chart. Everything remains positive for the longs. The channel wall and RSI trendline still intact and today marks the 9th day in a row where the low of the day is higher than the low of the day before. This is a strong bullish sign ...
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Oct 4, 2011Normal technical rebound. Risk assets have gotten killed the past few days.
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Oct 4, 2011But I donīt expect we will creep up that bottom line. I expect we will jump to the top wall in the next few days which is 200+ pips higher. What will be the trigger? Probably the US employment report on Friday. I think it will be surprisingly good ...
USD/JPY Discussion
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Alorente replied Oct 4, 2011Yes. It is the bottom one of the 3 pink lines. Right now it is at 76.51. Of course, it will go higher every 4 hours with each new bar.
USD/JPY Discussion