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Alorente replied Nov 24, 2011Good Morning. We are headed higher today. The question to ask is: Are we bouncing to the top wall of the wedge at 1.35 or through it to 1.37? My Proprietary indicator is telling me that EURUSD is going much higher than we think, but we´ll have to ...
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Alorente replied Nov 23, 2011If it breaks the wedge, the minimum would be 1.40 in theory, which is the width of the wedge at its widest point added to the point of the breakout. I would sell probably at the 200SMA around 1.37
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Alorente replied Nov 23, 2011No. We need to rally from here. There should be another test of the bottom before it rises. For the wedge long theory to work the breakout should come by Friday.
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Alorente replied Nov 23, 2011Price is right on the bottom wall of the wedge and RSI is on the rising trendline. This is as far as it can go without my bullish 1.37 target theory is blown to pieces.
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Alorente replied Nov 23, 2011Thanks, I appreciate your comments. I still am long and expect to make a solid profit in the end. I was stopped out but reopened long positions at support. I still expect a strong rebound before Friday that will break the upper wall of the wedge and ...
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Alorente replied Nov 23, 2011Equally excellent post. Technical analysis does not only give you a snap shot of price action in any particular instant, instead, it gives you a solid indication of momentum and the likelihood of price direction in the time frame that is being ...
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Alorente replied Nov 23, 2011Excellent and informative post. Thank you for taking the time to write it. Cheers.
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Alorente replied Nov 23, 2011The attached chart shows repeated divergences of the Trix in relation to price (Marked by the red circles). This is a major indication of an approaching important trend change. This signals a break of the top wall of the wedge and a return to the ...
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Alorente replied Nov 23, 2011Doubled my long position at 3380. The indicators are still flashing divergences. This last H4 bar may be a final shakeout. I may be wrong but that´s what I continue to see.
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Alorente replied Nov 23, 2011Because there is key support at the bottom of the base is precisely why this is a low risk bet. My stop loss is below the base at 1.3390. I always trade what my indicators tell me to trade. The puzzle may take from now till Friday to resolve itself. ...
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Alorente replied Nov 23, 2011I have increased my long position at 1.3448, near the bottom of the base. Both the Trix and RSI continue to show bullish divergences to price. It is hard to rationalize a long move at this point considering all the background news, but I continue to ...
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Alorente replied Nov 22, 2011It´s just what the charts tell me. I´m sure there may be other interpretations but I have to call it as I see it. If I´m wrong I will learn from it. That´s the beauty of Technical Analysis. I said before that the S&P may not follow. I really meant ...
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Alorente replied Nov 22, 2011An interesting divergence has developed in the past 2 days between the S&P and the EURUSD. The S&P has weakened considerably while the Euro has moved sideways. This may be a consequence of the Clowns in Washington not agreeing on the budget cuts. I ...
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Alorente replied Nov 22, 2011H4 Wedge — The wedge that has formed on the H4 chart looks pretty ominous. IF PA breaks the top wall, which coincides with the 55 EMA, the price target is all the way up to 1.42 in about 20 days. This scenario lines up with the other ...
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