Let me guess... 1.2300 right?

EURUSD only

ISM and factory orders were meh... if NFP is meh or bad also, USD down?... wait for it ^ ? Haha. ALSO still to come: If the FED knows that yield curve inversions cause recessions, I'd be willing to bet that someone soon proposes that they always ...

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Interesting: A perma-dove, but still a voting member: url

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If I can get a good enough setup (build enough captial) that is why I'd start using an OTM option hedge. Can almost proxy it with binary options, but end up paying 10% on gains that are maybe 40% so it is a hefty cost... although if you lose and ...

EURUSD only

1.231 SHOULD be strong resistance (support) for the BEAR/SHORT case. I think it will stay here until the ISM data in about 1 hour. I'd bet it steadies on/above/around 1.2870 but who knows at this point... haha. I think this judgement is also shaped ...

EURUSD only

US traders not in? to tune the machines? Maybe people waiting for ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI?

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Fill the gap from 2000s?

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Does anyone else feel like the "talk cycle" is soon going to be this?: US economy slowing due to tariffs with China. US numbers start getting bad ... hey wait, the EU is still willing to trade with China No rate hikes in US, dollar down, EUR up. ...

EURUSD only

Um... wat?!? I see all this dollar negative (WEAK USD) news now that it hit 1.2256. It's FIXED! hahah. Wonder if we saw/will see the "robber banks" here - haha.

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Below 1.2256 is Armageddon for the longs. At least in my opinion. I'd expect to see it stabilize there at the lowest but who knows. Tempted to capitulate since I'm long from a little under 1.2300. Also regretting that I cannot use option to hedge ...

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1.22870 held again... for LONG for now. Crazy how many times that has held at this point right?

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I really hope you are right. Else it's going to be at 1.2300 for the next decade... haha. ugh.

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Whelp, I still don't think it definitively broke 1.22870 so I'm still LONG for now. It is painful at this point to be honest though. haha. I guess the tariff crud is pinning it low and making USD strong? but not sure - and not 100% sure it is/should ...

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Haha, yeah. That's FX. 1.22870 needs to hold for the LONG in my opinion. It will be interesting to see if that can hold. If it breaks, think it is back to SHORT.

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What broker do you use? Couldn't you just limit order when you suspect that they are going to stop run and pick some up on the cheap?

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Ah, ok. I think we are on the same page (not that it 100% matters but... ) and I just misunderstood and thought you meant he opposite of what I mentioned above. And I was confused so I wanted to see if someone/you would clarify.

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Wait, what? Are you saying "actual is greater than forecast is good for currency" applies here? Because the "currency" for the ISM news is USD. So if the actual is LOW, that is USD BAD and that means USD fall, EURUSD up since USD is the denominator ...

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I guess you are right. I should have compared to past numbers. I just saw that the expected was like 60 and that it was lower. I'm still long from lower, but getting sick of waiting for this move up so badly at this point... haha. I'll have to ...

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ISM PMI came in really, really low. Should be USD down, and EURUSD up. But we all know how it has been... haha

EURUSD only