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EventsTrader commented Aug 13, 2025Through $122K, heading towards ATH
Bitcoin has surged back above $121,000, marking a significant rally in the cryptocurrency...
- EventsTrader commented Aug 12, 2025
Mixed to slightly hot vs. prior. Pretty much in line with expectations.
Core CPI y/y ticked up to 3.1% from 3.0%. Shelter +0.2% (Owners’ Equivalent Rent +0.3%): Steady housing cost gains, ...US Consumer Price Index - July 2025
- EventsTrader commented Jun 27, 2025
Core PCE came in a little hot. PCE 2.3% y/y; core 2.7%. Both nearing the lower bound of the Fed’s 2%–3% comfort zone. Core PCE has proven to be a little sticky though. Story of this release is the drop in government social benefits and its impact on ...
US Personal Income and Outlays, May 2025
- EventsTrader commented Jun 18, 2025
Market is reading this as risk-off. I don't see it.
Trump: Iran has reached out; I said it's very late
- EventsTrader commented Jun 17, 2025
Big miss! Overall US retail sales remains up year-over-year, but the m/m swings highlight uneven demand across sectors.
Auto sector collapse? After a flat April (+0.0 %), dealers shed nearly 4% of sales in May, the ...US retail sales fell 0.9% in May, worse than expected as consumers pulled back
- EventsTrader commented Jun 6, 2025
NFP driven by strong service-sector hiring but offset by continued federal-government losses (–22K) and weakness in professional/business services. It narrowly beats but slightly below the 12-month monthly average (+149K), and a downward revision to ...
The US Employment Situation -- May 2025
- EventsTrader commented May 13, 2025
Softer than expected.
CPI m/m to three decimals: 0.221% Core CPI m/m to three decimals: 0.237% Those are still high monthly values. Annualized that would come out to about 2.7% for CPI and 2.9% for ...US Consumer Price Index - April 2025
- EventsTrader commented May 12, 2025
What do they consider 'a deal?' They'll be negotiating for months, at least.
Trump: Very good meeting today with China, many things discussed, much agreed to. A total...
- EventsTrader commented May 12, 2025
It's going to be a wild open in the stock market.
US Treasury Secretary Bessent: It's implausible tariffs on China go below 10%
- EventsTrader commented May 2, 2025
Big NF beat
. Overall payrolls rose by 177 K, edging above the 12‑month average of +152 K. Private education & health services:+ 70K Transportation & warehousing: + 29K ...The US Employment Situation -- April 2025
- EventsTrader commented Apr 10, 2025
SOFT
To three decimals: - CPI m/m: -0.050% (not as soft as it appears to one decimal) - Core CPI m/m: 0.057% (softer than it appears to one decimal) Notables: Food inflation persists, especially in animal ...US Consumer Price Index - March 2025
- EventsTrader commented Mar 12, 2025
Slightly weaker than expected. To three decimals: Core CPI m/m came at 0.227%, CPI m/m at 0.216%. A smaller than usual increase in shelter with a modest rise in energy components, offset by notable declines in certain transportation services. ...
US Consumer Price Index - February 2025
- EventsTrader commented Mar 7, 2025
Mild report. No big surprises. Breakdown:
Total Private Employment jumped by +59k compared with January (from +81k to +140k). Goods‐Producing Industries swung from –7k to +34k (+41k difference), ...The US Employment Situation -- February 2025
- EventsTrader commented Feb 14, 2025
Revised December data (+0.7%) softened the blow, but trend suggests weaker momentum entering 2025. Autos, electronics, and apparel struggled, while food services and gas stations saw gains. Notables:
Food Services & ...US Retail Sales Drop Broadly in Month Marked by Fires, Storms
- EventsTrader commented Feb 12, 2025
Market shifted back rate cut expectations from July to Sept. I'm not sure how the Fed stays in this easing cycle with a tight labor market and stubbornly high inflation. It's borderline delusional.
US Consumer Price Index - January 2025
- EventsTrader commented Feb 12, 2025
Coming in hot.
Not tariff related. No room for Fed to lower rates. CPI m/m to three decimals came in at 0.467%. Core CPI m/m to three decimals came in at 0.446%. Core CPI much hotter than the one digit ...US Consumer Price Index - January 2025
- EventsTrader commented Feb 7, 2025
Weaker than expected NFP but Avg Hourly Earnings coming in hot.
Overall very mixed as displayed by the lack of market direction. Retail Trade: Added 34,000 jobs, driven by +13,000 in general merchandise retailers ...The US Employment Situation -- January 2025
- EventsTrader commented Jan 15, 2025
No huge surprises but no signs that we're returning to the Fed's 2.0% anytime soon.
Core CPI y/y increase was 3.2%, showing sustained underlying inflationary pressures. Gasoline ...US Consumer Price Index - December 2024
- EventsTrader commented Jan 10, 2025
Overall pretty strong.
Notables: Transportation and Warehousing gained 43,400 jobs, rebounding sharply from a loss of -29,200 in November. Government added 33,000 jobs, primarily at the ...The US Employment Situation -- December 2024