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Cliff Wachtel commented Jun 8, 2014many. see here for guidelines url , see here url for more details regarding the EURUSD, as noted in article, odds favor a bounce on both technical and fundy bases, though caution about committing too much yet as markets still figuring this out ...
EURUSD Weekly Technical, Fundamental Forecast June 8, 2014: Huge Lessons, And Coming QE-EU?
- Submitted Jun 8, 2014|From fxempire.com|3 comments
Technical Outlook: Near term bullish, medium term neutral. As suspected we indeed got our “sell the rumor buy the news” bounce after the ECB fully met but did not exceed expectations. Odds favor some follow through higher to test likely resistance ...
- Cliff Wachtel commented May 25, 2014
really. that's why I spent so much of my book writing about risk management and the importance of only taking trades where risk/reward is better than 2:1, most of us need to be able to profit while being wrong on majority of trades
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Edging Towards A Trend Reversal-Drivers, Ramifications, How To Profit
- Cliff Wachtel commented May 25, 2014
yes. lower rates are bearish for a currency, but if (and that's the question) ECB determined to have lower rates than USD, then lower USD rates mean even more EUR weakness. Ironically, USD could be rising at a time when its rates are falling (if EUR ...
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Edging Towards A Trend Reversal-Drivers, Ramifications, How To Profit
- Cliff Wachtel commented May 25, 2014
a few things, here are just some of them: --temptation to test lower support levels noted in the article --ECB may surprise markets with 'shock and awe' approach rather than the expected incremental cuts of rates that are already near zero, and ...
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Edging Towards A Trend Reversal-Drivers, Ramifications, How To Profit
- Submitted May 24, 2014|From fxempire.com|9 comments
Technical Outlook: Edging towards trend topping and reversing, key levels to watch and why. Fundamental Outlook: New developments feeding the same drivers – EU data, Fed rate revelations, and all else matter only insofar as they influence ...
- Cliff Wachtel commented May 19, 2014
What do you mean by "big banks agitation"? curious, 'cause rest of comment was really good. Re: fading the FF sample traders, they do indeed reflect a common retail trader error I've seen repeatedly when I worked for different brokerages as chief ...
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Is Recent Price Action Showing Weakness Or Resilience?
- Cliff Wachtel commented May 19, 2014
LOL, not only is crisis not over, the reasons FT.com cited for market calm haven't even happened! I've a whole discussion on that here: url
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Is Recent Price Action Showing Weakness Or Resilience?
- Cliff Wachtel commented May 19, 2014
excellent question - so far they've opted for quietly lowering standards. My guess: banks with borderline capitalization will focus on passing tests, and if hit with negative deposit rates - ie getting charged by ECB for holding money, then banks in ...
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Is Recent Price Action Showing Weakness Or Resilience?
- Cliff Wachtel commented May 18, 2014
already testing decent support, so unless get speculation of bigger easing or a convincing risk off event, bias appears flat to higher over the coming week
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Is Recent Price Action Showing Weakness Or Resilience?
- Cliff Wachtel commented May 18, 2014
On the economic calendar, not much. Potential for further downside moves comes from: chance of greater than expected ECB easing speculation geopolitical fears from China or Russia tensions - neither likely to do much damage in long run but with ...
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Is Recent Price Action Showing Weakness Or Resilience?
- Submitted May 18, 2014|From fxempire.com|14 comments
The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond. Summary Technical outlook: Neutral medium term per weekly charts. ...
- Cliff Wachtel commented May 11, 2014
despite poor underlying fundamentals otherwise and ECB easing ahead, European stocks and bonds have been seen as beaten down 'value' plays especially given fears that US stocks may be overvalued - and THAT has spurred buying of EU stocks and ...
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Has The Big Reversal Started? Here’s What To Watch
- Submitted May 10, 2014|From fxempire.com|11 comments
FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental & technical picture, this week’s market drivers that could change it- the bullish, the bearish and likely EURUSD direction Summary Technical Outlook: Medium term per weekly EURUSD charts neutral, short term ...
- Cliff Wachtel commented May 5, 2014
If its too complicated, here is the summary at the end… very clear and simple…..(Good article)…. thx, good idea.
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Why Top Tier Data But No Breakouts, & What’s Missing?
- Cliff Wachtel commented May 4, 2014
"I tried to read the article (really hard) but in the end could not read a line of it and so do not know how it was concluded." Huh? technical issue? seems not, as you then refer to voluminous prose. Often the evidence is NOT conclusive. Rather than ...
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Why Top Tier Data But No Breakouts, & What’s Missing?
- Cliff Wachtel commented May 4, 2014
mentioned this 2x in sections on: European Stocks Attract Buyers Despite Continued Weak Earnings, Downward Revisions - contains link to location for coming piece on lessons for the coming week and alludes to details on Ukraine EU Stress Test Not To ...
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Why Top Tier Data But No Breakouts, & What’s Missing?
- Cliff Wachtel commented May 4, 2014
thx. As time permits, will try
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Why Top Tier Data But No Breakouts, & What’s Missing?
- Cliff Wachtel commented May 4, 2014
update on short term EURUSD support in short term: url
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Why Top Tier Data But No Breakouts, & What’s Missing?