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frx_trader commented Sep 11, 2012It's useless now to argue QE. It's decision time.
Zero Chance For QE3 - The Fed's Job Is Done
- frx_trader commented Sep 11, 2012
I sometimes trade Gold. So, say 50% you are right. That's still leave another 50%. Well, this is not a good way to describe the market. So, we trade according to our expectation. I take my 1% that there is no QE. And leave 99% to others.
Fed Stuck at Zero Into 2015 Seen in Swaps, QE Odds Reach 99%
- frx_trader commented Sep 11, 2012
Let's see some reasoning, shall we? Let say the market agrees and price in that "QE Odds Reach 99%". So the market will be up 1% if QE to make it 100%. Now, if no QE, then the market will be down 99% to make it 0%. Am I right? Let's do it this way. ...
Fed Stuck at Zero Into 2015 Seen in Swaps, QE Odds Reach 99%
- frx_trader commented Sep 11, 2012
They have to treat Spain and Italy the way they treat Greece. That's the price of Euro.
German Constitutional Court confirms that the ruling on ESM tomorrow
- frx_trader commented Sep 11, 2012
they begin their party early on.
Schaeuble: Can't fight EMU debt crisis via the printing press
- frx_trader commented Sep 11, 2012
Of course, Greece has nothing to loose to be the 1st "Guinea pig" (sorry, but no offend). Spain, she will wait and see.
German Constitutional Court confirms that the ruling on ESM tomorrow
- frx_trader commented Sep 11, 2012
Draghi doesn't have any customers yet. Greece might be the first one.
German Constitutional Court confirms that the ruling on ESM tomorrow
- frx_trader commented Sep 11, 2012
Market is full of surprises.
German Constitutional Court confirms that the ruling on ESM tomorrow
- frx_trader commented Sep 10, 2012
1.0340 has temporary been broken, next is 1.0320, 1.0280. Just follow the chart.
Robust Australia growth will prevent rate cuts: NAB
- frx_trader commented Sep 10, 2012
I don't think so. Too risky.
IMF's Deputy MD Zhu says strongly supports the ECB bond-buying program
- frx_trader commented Sep 10, 2012
Loadedgun, thanks. I have looked into some of Mean Reverting formulas. Indeed, they are based on advance statistics. They maybe of academia interests and try to explain the market in scientific fashion. Hope someday they will be successful in doing ...
The Shift From Mean Reverting To Fractal Based Markets
- frx_trader commented Sep 10, 2012
Discoveries are ok if they have values. But that has nothing to do with forex. Most people favor "practical" than "complexity".
The Shift From Mean Reverting To Fractal Based Markets
- frx_trader commented Sep 10, 2012
Strong support @ 1.0340. Will it break?
AUD/USD gaps lower, China data weighs
- frx_trader commented Sep 9, 2012
German wants stronger Euro to maintain competitive advantage.
54% Of Germans Hope Krimson Kardinals Just Say "Nein" To ESM
- frx_trader commented Sep 9, 2012
Wow, German is short sighted yet has the strongest economy in EZ. Maybe Italy and Spain are more long sighted.
54% Of Germans Hope Krimson Kardinals Just Say "Nein" To ESM
- frx_trader commented Sep 9, 2012
How about, ehm ...? Ah, never mind, it will be decided in a couple of days.
The truth about ECB's plans to 'sterilize' sov debt purchases
- frx_trader commented Sep 9, 2012
Regardless of German court decision, in order to save EZ and PIIGS, to make them more competitive, Euro has to be 1.20 -1.25. But German Economy is strong, so it's a dilemma. German court has little thing to do with Euro exchange rate. The market ...
Germans could be consigned to serfdom to save the euro